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Pro League

Al Shabab - Al-Qadsiah

08/13/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Al Shabab
1.3
Total xG
3.7
Al-Qadsiah
2.4
最可能的比分

1:2

9%

1:3

7%

2:2

6%

0:3

6%

2:1

5%
xG 分解
ASAL-

Al Shabab

排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第4位, 相差9位)
-0.13
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.11
Abderrazak Hamdallah未进大名单 (6球, 2助攻)
Saad Balobaid未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Ali Al-Azaizeh未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Ali bin Hadi bin Mohammed Al Bulayhi未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.8球 vs 总体1.4球)

Al-Qadsiah

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.68倍)
+1.23
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.32
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第13位, 相差9位)
+0.10
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.04
Nahitan Nández替补席 (8球, 10助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.9球 vs 总体2.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.51
+0.51
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

19%

平局

21%

客胜

60%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

71%

Under 2.5

29%

Over 3.5

50%

Under 3.5

50%

双重机会

主胜或平局

40%

客胜或平局

81%

非平局

79%

双方进球

67%

33%

关键因素
  • Away attacking power: Al-Qadsiah score 2.44 goals per match on average and pose a huge threat with Julián Quiñones scoring 33 goals this season
  • Mathematical prediction: The analytical model calculates a 60% probability for an away win with 2.36 expected goals for Al-Qadsiah
  • Tactical possession dominance: Al-Qadsiah averaged a dominant 63.6% possession in recent matches
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability: Al Shabab concede 1.64 goals per home game on average
  • Squad disadvantage: The home side must cope without Abderrazak Hamdallah, leaving them with only 81% of their usual starting strength available
概述

Al Shabab host Al-Qadsiah at the Al-Shabab Club Stadium in Riyadh

Pro League match on August 13, 2026, 8:00 PM

Both teams start the season level on points

The visitors enter the match as favorites according to mathematical models

近期状态

Al Shabab with the form sequence LDWDD in their recent matches

The home side recorded one win and three draws lately

Al-Qadsiah show a form sequence of WLDDW

The visitors won two of their last five matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Al Shabab average 1.29 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded per match

Al-Qadsiah average a strong 2.44 goals scored per game

The away team conceded only 1.00 goals per match on average

Both teams scored in 21 out of 34 matches for Al Shabab

历史交锋

There have been 4 direct duels in history

Al-Qadsiah recorded 2 wins, while Al Shabab secured 1 victory

The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw on April 14, 2026

关键球员

Yannick Carrasco leads Al Shabab with 18 goals and 8 assists

Josh Brownhill contributed 5 goals in midfield

Julián Quiñones is the top scorer for Al-Qadsiah with 33 goals in 31 games

Mateo Retegui scored 16 goals this season

门将

Mohammed Al-Mahasneh guards the home team's goal with 0 season appearances

Ahmed Al-Kassar made 3 appearances for the visitors this season

影响因素

The Al-Shabab Club Stadium averaged 4.2 goals per game in recent matches

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 home matches at this venue

Al Shabab's home advantage with 1.27 average goals scored could play a role

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