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Pro League

Al Ettifaq - Al Riyadh

08/14/2026, 06:00 PM

4 : 2
预期进球
Al Ettifaq
1.8
Total xG
3.1
Al Riyadh
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
AEAR

Al Ettifaq

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
+1.11
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.82
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.09
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第15位, 相差8位)
+0.07
Georginio Wijnaldum未进大名单 (16球, 6助攻)
Khalid Al-Ghannam替补席 (13球, 6助攻)
Francisco Calvo未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
João Costa未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
71%进球产出缺失 (仅37%可用)

Al Riyadh

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.53倍)
-2.11
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均3球)
-1.20
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.23
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.23
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第7位, 相差8位)
-0.12
Tozé未进大名单 (9球, 5助攻)
Yoann Barbet未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
62%进球产出缺失 (仅47%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.50
+1.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

26%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

74%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • Massive quality loss for Al Ettifaq: Only 38% of goal threat is available as key players such as Georginio Wijnaldum and Khalid Al-Ghannam are missing
  • Trend advantage for Al Riyadh: The visitors are scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.03), while Al Ettifaq's goal production recently slowed to 1.2
  • Tactical threat: Al Riyadh averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches, showing strong offensive quality
风险因素
  • Defensive weakness on the road: Al Riyadh concede an average of 2.35 goals per away match
  • Weakened visitors squad: Al Riyadh are missing Tozé and Yoann Barbet, leaving only 48% of their goal threat available
  • Inexperienced goalkeeper: Al Ettifaq start with Turki Ba Al-Jawsh in goal, who has played zero minutes of match action this season
概述

Al Ettifaq host Al Riyadh at the EGO STADIUM

Pro League match on August 14, 2026, 6:00 PM

Both teams look for their first points at the start of the season

Al Ettifaq are favored by the mathematical model with a 47% win probability

近期状态

Form of Al Ettifaq: LWLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last games

Form of Al Riyadh: WDWLW

The visitors showed better form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

统计数据

Al Ettifaq scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.62 goals per match

At home, their average stands at 1.53 goals scored and 1.53 conceded

Al Riyadh scored a season average of 1.03 goals and conceded 1.85 goals

On the road, the visitors show massive defensive issues with 2.35 goals conceded per match

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in total

Al Ettifaq lead with 2 wins compared to 1 win for Al Riyadh and 1 draw

The last match on April 9, 2026, ended in a 3-2 away victory for Al Riyadh

关键球员

Moussa Dembélé has scored 9 goals and provided 2 assists this season

Álvaro Medrán contributed 1 goal and 8 assists in his 29 appearances

Leandro Antunes is the main offensive threat for the visitors with 7 goals in 15 appearances

门将

Turki Ba Al-Jawsh is set to make his first appearance of the season for Al Ettifaq

Milan Borjan played all 34 matches for Al Riyadh and kept 4 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at EGO STADIUM

The venue history indicates high-scoring matches with an average of 3.8 goals per game

Over 2.5 goals were scored and both teams found the net in 80% of historical matches at this venue

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