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Pro League

Al Nassr - Al Fateh

08/15/2026, 06:00 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Al Nassr
1.8
Total xG
2.6
Al Fateh
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

12%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
ANAF

Al Nassr

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均2.3球)
-1.60
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.4球)
+0.19
状态上升 (3.4 vs 2.8 赛季平均)
+0.19
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第12位, 相差11位)
+0.09
Cristiano Ronaldo替补席 (28球, 2助攻)
Marcelo Brozović未进大名单 (0球, 5助攻)
Abdulelah Al-Amri替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Ayman Yahya替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)

Al Fateh

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.48倍)
-1.64
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.22
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.21
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第1位, 相差11位)
-0.10
Sofiane Bendebka未进大名单 (9球, 1助攻)
Wesley Delgado未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Jorge Fernandes未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
39%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4.3球)
+1.83
+1.83
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

60%

平局

26%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

40%

非平局

75%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Tactical dominance: Al Nassr averaged 9.6 shots on target with 60.4% possession in recent matches
  • Home strength: Al Nassr impressed last season with an average of 2.71 home goals scored and only 0.71 conceded per match
  • Offensive struggles: Al Fateh's goal production has stalled recently at 0.8 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.3
风险因素
  • Away defense concerns: Al Fateh concede a high average of 2.23 goals per away match
  • Low attacking threat: Al Fateh averaged only 3.4 shots on target per game in recent matches
概述

Al Nassr (9th place, 0 points) host Al Fateh (10th place, 0 points) at the Al-Awwal Park

Pro League matchday 1 on August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM

Season opener for both teams

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a probability of 60%

近期状态

Al Nassr with perfect form from the end of last season: WWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home side recorded 5 consecutive wins

Al Fateh with inconsistent recent form: LLLWD

The visitors registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last games

统计数据

Al Nassr averaged 2.68 goals scored per game last season

The home team conceded an average of 0.82 goals

Al Fateh averaged 1.21 goals scored per game

The visitors conceded an average of 1.62 goals per match

Al Nassr kept 17 clean sheets last season

Al Fateh achieved 7 clean sheets

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in the database

Al Nassr dominate with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Al Fateh

The last meeting ended on February 14, 2026, with a 2:0 victory for Al Nassr

Goal difference of 12:5 in favor of Al Nassr

关键球员

João Félix with 20 goals and 13 assists last season

Kingsley Coman scored 10 goals and provided 11 assists

Sadio Mané contributed 10 goals and 6 assists

Mourad Batna is Al Fateh's most dangerous attacker with 9 goals and 8 assists

Zaydou Youssouf in midfield with 2 goals and 2 assists

Saeed Baattia in defense with 1 goal last season

Not in the squad for Al Nassr: Cristiano Ronaldo (28 goals, 2 assists), Marcelo Brozović (0 goals, 5 assists), Abdulelah Al-Amri, and Ayman Yahya

Not in the squad for Al Fateh: Sofiane Bendebka (9 goals, 1 assist), Wesley Delgado (2 goals, 3 assists), and Jorge Fernandes

门将

Bento played in goal for Al Nassr last season, averaging a rating of 6.84

Al Nassr kept a total of 17 clean sheets last season

Walid Al-Enezi is in goal for Al Fateh

Al Fateh achieved a total of 7 clean sheets last season

影响因素

Home advantage at Al-Awwal Park on natural grass pitch

Al-Awwal Park averaged 3.4 goals per match in recent games

Al Nassr scored an average of 2.71 goals and conceded 0.71 goals at home last season

Al Fateh conceded an average of 2.23 goals away from home

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