🇸🇦

Pro League

Al Riyadh - Al Nassr

08/21/2026, 04:00 PM

0 : 4
预期进球
Al Riyadh
0.8
Total xG
3.0
Al Nassr
2.2
最可能的比分

0:2

12%

1:1

10%

1:2

10%

0:3

9%

1:3

7%
xG 分解
ARAN

Al Riyadh

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.16
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.16
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第1位, 相差14位)
-0.13
Tozé未进大名单 (9球, 5助攻)
Yoann Barbet未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
57%进球产出缺失 (仅49%可用)

Al Nassr

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.59倍)
+0.91
防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.72
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第15位, 相差14位)
+0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.07
Cristiano Ronaldo替补席 (28球, 2助攻)
Marcelo Brozović未进大名单 (0球, 5助攻)
Mohamed Simakan替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均2.2球 vs 总体2.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.50
+0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

10%

平局

20%

客胜

70%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

30%

客胜或平局

90%

非平局

80%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Squad depletion for Al Riyadh: Only 49% of the regular starting lineup strength is available, as Tozé and Yoann Barbet are missing
  • Tactical dominance: Al Nassr controlled recent matches with an average of 61.2% possession and 8.4 shots on target, compared to Al Riyadh's counter-oriented 44.6% possession
  • Offensive power: Al Nassr scores consistently at around 2.9 goals per match, meeting the hosts' vulnerable defense
风险因素
  • Key absences for Al Nassr: Cristiano Ronaldo, Marcelo Brozović, and Mohamed Simakan are not in the starting lineup
  • Short recovery time: Al Nassr enters the match with only 6 days of rest since their last game
  • Limited data availability regarding duel statistics in recent matches
概述

Al Riyadh (15th place, 0 points) host Al Nassr (2nd place, 3 points) at the Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Pro League match on August 21, 2026, 6:00 PM

Clear favorite role for the away team

近期状态

Al Riyadh with form DWLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Most recent match ended in a 2-4 defeat against Al Ettifaq

Al Nassr enters with a perfect run of five consecutive wins (WWWWW)

Their last game was won 3-0 against Al Fateh

统计数据

Al Riyadh scored 35 goals (Avg. 1.03) and conceded 63 goals (Avg. 1.85) this season

At home, their average is 1.0 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded

Al Nassr shines with 91 goals scored (Avg. 2.68) and only 28 goals conceded (Avg. 0.82)

On the road, the visitors average 2.65 goals per match

历史交锋

Four head-to-head matches in history

Al Nassr won all four matches, Al Riyadh is still waiting for their first success

The goal difference stands at 2-9 in favor of the visitors

The last meeting ended 1-0 for Al Nassr on February 2, 2026

关键球员

Teddy Okou recorded one goal and eight assists in 32 appearances with a 6.9 rating

Leandro Antunes has seven goals in 15 matches with a 7.24 rating

Sadio Mané contributed ten goals and six assists in 25 appearances

Kingsley Coman has ten goals and eleven assists in 30 games

João Félix stands out with 20 goals and 13 assists with a 7.85 rating

Milan Borjan appeared in 34 matches with a 6.81 rating

门将

Milan Borjan played 34 games for Al Riyadh and kept four clean sheets

Bento appeared 21 times for Al Nassr, while the team recorded 17 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Stadium statistics show an average of 2.2 goals per match with only one out of five matches seeing both teams score

Al Riyadh has a home goal difference of 17-23

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。