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Pro League

Al-Qadsiah - Al Ittihad

08/21/2026, 06:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Al-Qadsiah
2.1
Total xG
3.1
Al Ittihad
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
AL-AI

Al-Qadsiah

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
+0.77
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.47
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.03
Nahitan Nández未进大名单 (8球, 10助攻)

Al Ittihad

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.70
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.05
Moussa Diaby替补席 (4球, 7助攻)
Muhannad Shanqeeti替补席 (3球, 6助攻)
Fabinho未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
Danilo Pereira未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Faisal Al-Ghamdi未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅59%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.50
+0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

23%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

77%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Strong mathematical prediction: The model calculates a home win probability of 62% and expects 2.10 home goals
  • Dominant style of play: Al-Qadsiah recently averaged 61.8% possession and 6.4 shots on target per match
  • Historical advantage: In the last head-to-head encounter, Al-Qadsiah dominated Al Ittihad with a clear 5-1 victory
风险因素
  • Severe squad depletion: Moussa Diaby, Muhannad Shanqeeti, Fabinho, Danilo Pereira and Faisal Al-Ghamdi are missing, leaving only 59% of the usual starting XI strength available
  • Goalkeeper absence: First-choice keeper K. Casteels is injured, forcing Ahmed Al-Kassar to start with only 3 season appearances
概述

Al-Qadsiah host Al Ittihad at the EGO STADIUM

Pro League match on August 21, 2026, 8:00 PM

Al-Qadsiah currently sit in 4th place with 3 points

Al Ittihad are in 8th place with 1 point

The hosts enter this match as favorites after an opening win

近期状态

Al-Qadsiah form: LDDWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts achieved 2 wins and 2 draws with 1 loss

They are currently on a two-game winning streak

Al Ittihad form: LWLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The visitors recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Al Ittihad's recent trend is rated as negative

统计数据

Al-Qadsiah score an average of 2.44 goals per game while conceding 1.0

In home games, they average 2.5 goals scored and 0.81 conceded

Al Ittihad score an average of 1.62 goals and concede 1.41

Away from home, the visitors average 1.65 goals and 1.35 goals conceded

Al-Qadsiah kept a clean sheet 10 times this season

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches so far

Al-Qadsiah won 2 times, Al Ittihad won 1 time with 1 draw

The goal difference is 9:6 in favor of Al-Qadsiah

The last encounter ended in a clear 5-1 victory for Al-Qadsiah

This makes the home team dominant in recent history

关键球员

Julián Quiñones scored 33 goals and provided 4 assists in 31 matches

Musab Al-Juwayr has 6 goals and 11 assists from 31 encounters

Mateo Retegui contributed 16 goals and 1 assist in 28 games

Youssef En-Nesyri recently scored 5 goals in 5 games with a 7.33 rating

Houssem Aouar has 8 goals and 4 assists this season

Steven Bergwijn contributed 5 goals and 3 assists in 21 matches

门将

Ahmed Al-Kassar appeared in goal 3 times this season and shows a stable form trend

Predrag Rajković made 30 appearances with a rating of 6.84 but shows a declining form trend

影响因素

Home advantage supports Al-Qadsiah through an average of 2.5 goals scored per home game

At EGO STADIUM, 5 games averaged 4.0 goals with an Over 2.5 rate of 80%

The match will be played on natural grass

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