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Pro League

Al Hilal - Al Ahli

09/01/2026, 06:00 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Al Hilal
1.4
Total xG
2.2
Al Ahli
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
AHAA

Al Hilal

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.43
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.4球)
+0.18
状态上升 (3.4 vs 2.8 赛季平均)
+0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.61倍)
-0.06
Malcom Filipe Silva de Oliveira未进大名单 (7球, 10助攻)
Mohamed Kanno替补席 (5球, 4助攻)
Moteb Al-Harbi替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅64%可用)

Al Ahli

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.72
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.02
Riyad Mahrez未进大名单 (4球, 8助攻)
Franck Kessié未进大名单 (5球, 3助攻)
Firas Al-Buraikan替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Rayan Hamed替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
17%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.37
+0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

31%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

69%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Attacking advantage: Al Hilal recently averaged a strong 8.0 shots on target per match
  • Not selected for Al Ahli: Key regular players Riyad Mahrez, Franck Kessié, Firas Al-Buraikan, and Rayan Hamed are missing from the squad
  • Mathematical tendency: The predictive model estimates a home win with a 47% probability
风险因素
  • Reduced offensive threat for Al Hilal: Only 64% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available, with Malcom Filipe Silva de Oliveira, Mohamed Kanno, and Moteb Al-Harbi missing
  • Shorter recovery time: Al Ahli enter this match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Low visiting goal threat: Al Ahli recently averaged only 3.8 shots on target per match
概述

Al Hilal (2nd place, 9 points) host Al Ahli (7th place, 6 points) at the Kingdom Arena

Pro League match on September 1, 2026, 7:00 PM

The hosts aim to extend their perfect record of three consecutive wins

Al Ahli sit just three points behind, looking to close the gap to the top

近期状态

Al Hilal are in strong form with a DWWWW sequence

The hosts recently secured four consecutive wins, including a decisive 5-1 victory against Al Khaleej

Al Ahli display inconsistent form with a WLWDL run

The visitors recently suffered a 1-3 defeat against Al Kholood

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Al Hilal average 2.5 goals scored per game this season

Their home average stands at a strong 2.56 goals scored while conceding just 0.69 goals per game

Al Ahli average 2.17 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per away game

The Kingdom Arena sees an average of 3.4 total goals per game in recent matches

According to advanced stats, Al Hilal are currently scoring more frequently at 3.4 than their season average of 2.8

历史交锋

Even historical record in 4 head-to-head matches with one win each and two draws

The goal difference is perfectly balanced at 7:7 goals

The last meeting on February 2, 2026 ended in a scoreless 0:0 draw

Neither side has shown clear dominance in recent encounters

关键球员

Sergej Milinkovic-Savic shines in midfield with 8 season goals and a rising form trend

Rúben Neves controls the midfield with 11 season goals and 7 assists

Sultan Mandash has already contributed 4 goals in 15 appearances

For Al Ahli, Ivan Toney is the most dangerous attacker with an outstanding 32 season goals

Galeno impresses as a playmaker with 7 assists already this season

Valentin Atangana strengthens the midfield with 5 season goals

门将

Yassine Bounou has played 26 matches in goal, showing rising form with a recent 7.16 rating

Edouard Mendy also completed 26 matches with an average rating of 6.87

This season, Al Hilal recorded 16 clean sheets, while Al Ahli achieved 17

影响因素

The home advantage is reflected in Al Hilal's strong average of 2.56 home goals scored

The match will be played on natural grass at the Kingdom Arena

In the home stadium, recent games averaged 3.4 total goals per match

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