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Pro League

Al Ettifaq - Al Nassr

08/25/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Al Ettifaq
0.7
Total xG
3.1
Al Nassr
2.4
最可能的比分

0:2

13%

0:3

10%

1:2

9%

1:1

8%

1:3

7%
xG 分解
AEAN

Al Ettifaq

排名劣势 (第7位 vs 第1位, 相差6位)
-0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
Georginio Wijnaldum未进大名单 (16球, 6助攻)
Khalid Al-Ghannam替补席 (13球, 6助攻)
64%进球产出缺失 (仅46%可用)

Al Nassr

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.58倍)
+1.11
防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.88
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
+0.07
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
-0.00
Mohamed Simakan未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均2.2球 vs 总体2.8球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

8%

平局

18%

客胜

74%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

26%

客胜或平局

92%

非平局

82%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Severe squad impact: Al Ettifaq is missing Georginio Wijnaldum and Khalid Al-Ghannam, leaving only 47% of their usual goal threat available
  • Tactical dominance: Al Nassr recently averaged 7.4 shots on target with 60% possession, demonstrating immense offensive pressure
  • Clear model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a 74% win probability for the visitors and expects 2.43 goals from Al Nassr
风险因素
  • Short recovery: Al Ettifaq enters this demanding fixture with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Vulnerable defense: Al Ettifaq conceded an average of 1.62 goals per match last season
概述

Al Ettifaq hosts Al Nassr on August 25, 2026, at 6:00 PM

A Pro League clash between the 6th and 2nd placed teams

Both sides started the season perfectly with two wins

Al Nassr is calculated as the clear favorite for this matchup

近期状态

Al Ettifaq shows an upward trend with two consecutive wins recently

Their overall record over the last five matches stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Al Nassr arrives with a perfect streak of 5 consecutive wins

The visitors' form curve is exceptionally strong and stable

统计数据

Al Ettifaq averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per match last season

In home games, they scored 1.53 goals and conceded 1.53 on average

Al Nassr excelled with an average of 2.68 goals scored while conceding only 0.82

Away from home, Al Nassr maintained a strong record, averaging 2.65 goals scored and 0.94 conceded

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al Ettifaq won 1, Al Nassr won 2, and 1 ended in a draw

The goal difference in these matches is 5 to 8 from Al Ettifaq's perspective

The last encounter on April 15, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for Al Nassr

Al Nassr has emerged as the dominant side in recent direct matchups

关键球员

Moussa Dembélé has recorded 9 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 6.99

Álvaro Medrán shines with 8 assists and a strong rating of 7.20

Cristiano Ronaldo leads the visitors with 28 seasonal goals

João Félix contributed an impressive 20 goals and 13 assists with a 7.85 rating

Kingsley Coman boosts the attack with 10 goals and 11 assists

门将

Turki Ba Al-Jawsh guards the net for Al Ettifaq with an average rating of 6.95

His team secured a total of 9 clean sheets last season

Bento starts for Al Nassr, maintaining an average rating of 6.90

The defense ahead of Bento helped Al Nassr record an impressive 17 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the EGO STADIUM

This venue has recently averaged 3.2 total goals per match

The stadium statistics show a high-scoring trend with both Over 2.5 and BTTS occurring in 3 out of 5 games

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