比赛报告 →
Al Taawoun – Al-Fayha0 : 0
模型为何这样判断
Al Taawoun
1.60
总 xG
2.62
Al-Fayha
1.02
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Al Taawoun | Al-Fayha |
|---|---|---|
| 进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍) | −0.76 | |
| 进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.3倍) | +0.61 | |
| 最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球) | −0.24 | |
| 状态下滑 (0.4 vs 1.2 赛季平均) | −0.24 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球) | −0.22 | |
| 防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球) | +0.18 | |
| 状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均) | −0.15 | |
| Roger Martínez未进大名单 (23球, 2助攻) | ||
| Angelo Fulgini未进大名单 (5球, 10助攻) | ||
| Mohammed Mahzari未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻) | ||
| Flávio未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻) | ||
| 72%进球产出缺失 (仅40%可用) | ||
| Jason未进大名单 (5球, 8助攻) | ||
| Y. Benzia未进大名单 (4球, 5助攻) | ||
| Chris Smalling未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻) | ||
| 33%进球产出缺失 (仅56%可用) |
关键因素
- Severe squad impact for Al Taawoun: Only 40% of their goal-scoring threat is active with Roger Martínez, Angelo Fulgini, Mohammed Mahzari, and Flávio missing
- Tactical control: Al Taawoun recently averaged 57% possession and 4.0 shots on target per match
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis favors the hosts with a 49% home win probability
风险
- Weakened visitor squad: Al-Fayha have only 57% of their goal-scoring threat available without Jason, Y. Benzia, and Chris Smalling
- Fatigue factor: Al Taawoun have only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Defensive woes on the road: Al-Fayha concede an average of 2.12 goals in away matches
全部概率
赛果
Al Taawoun49%
平局28%
Al-Fayha23%
进球
大于 1.575%
小于 1.525%
大于 2.549%
小于 2.551%
大于 3.527%
小于 3.573%
双重机会
Al Taawoun或平局77%
Al-Fayha或平局51%
非平局72%
双方均进球
是53%
否47%
最可能的比分
1:1
13%
2:1
10%
2:0
9%
1:2
6%
3:1
5%
0:0
最终比分
首发阵容
Al Taawoun 4-1-4-1 · Al-Fayha 4-4-1-1
Al Taawoun
- 1 M. Tenorio dos Santos
- 6 M. Alhurayji
- 93 A. Al Slaluli
- 32 M. Al Mufarrij
- 88 M. Plamenov Petkov
- 18 A. El Mahdioui
- 7 M. Al Kuwaykibi
- 10 N. Bajrami
- 19 O. Dorley
- 47 Y. El Bahraoui
- 9 A. Hamdallah
Al-Fayha
- 52 O. Mosquera
- 22 M. Al Baqawi
- 15 P. Rodrigues de Oliveira
- 21 Z. Al Sahafi
- 77 R. bin Enad Al Mutairi
- 5 H. Moura Arruda da Silva
- 30 A. Semedo Esteves
- 17 L. Vinicius Marques
- 7 N. Al-Harthi
- 10 J. Sakala
替补
- 11 F. Al Rashidi
- 17 M. Al-Aqel
- 23 R. Altulayhi
- 14 S. Rashad Mohamed
- 11 Z. Belaïd
- 70 A. Hendi
- 20 B. Al-Arini
- 27 A. Al Hassan
- 39 A. Al Ghamdi
- 12 T. Al Jaadi
- 35 S. Ganvoula M'boussy
- 2 M. Al-Rashidi
- 9 Abdulmonam Malek
- 14 M. Al Beshe
- 24 A. Bamsaud
- 6 A. Al Hussain
- 20 A. Al Qahtani
- 1 A. Al-Deqeel
- 47 M. Al Dowaish
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