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Pro League

Al Nassr - Al Taawoun

08/28/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Al Nassr
2.3
Total xG
3.1
Al Taawoun
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

2:1

9%

3:0

9%

1:1

9%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
ANAT

Al Nassr

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.94倍)
+1.48
防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.56
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.05
Iñigo Martínez替补席 (3球, 0助攻)

Al Taawoun

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-1.23
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.28
状态下滑 (1.3 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.12
Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi替补席 (4球, 7助攻)
84%进球产出缺失 (仅21%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.44
+0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

71%

平局

19%

客胜

10%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

90%

客胜或平局

29%

非平局

81%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Only 21% of Al Taawoun's goal threat available without Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi
  • Tactical dominance: Al Nassr recently averaged 7.8 shots on target per match
  • Mathematical superiority: The model calculates a home win probability of 71%
风险因素
  • Al Nassr with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Al Taawoun with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Al Taawoun's goal production is stalling with 1.3 goals in recent games compared to their season average of 1.7
概述

Al Nassr host Al Taawoun at Al-Awwal Park

Pro League match on August 28, 2026, 8:00 PM

League leaders Al Nassr with 9 points face 12th-placed Al Taawoun with 2 points

Clear favorite role for the home side

近期状态

Al Nassr is in outstanding shape with 5 wins in their last 5 matches

The form string is WWWWW

Al Taawoun has a mixed record with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

The guests' form string is WLDLD

统计数据

Al Nassr scores an average of 2.68 goals per game and concedes 0.82

Strong home attack with 2.71 goals per home game

Al Taawoun averages 1.74 goals and concedes 1.35 per match

In away games the guests concede an average of 1.29 goals

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Al Nassr won twice with 2 draws

Al Taawoun is still waiting for a win against this opponent

The goal difference stands at 8:2 in favor of Al Nassr

The last meeting on January 26, 2026 ended in a 1:0 victory for the home team

关键球员

Cristiano Ronaldo scored 28 goals in 30 appearances

João Félix shines with 20 goals and 13 assists in 33 matches

Sadio Mané contributed 10 goals and 6 assists in 25 games

门将

Nawaf Al-Aqidi guards the goal for Al Nassr with an average rating of 6.74

On the other side Mailson is in goal with a rating of 6.92 in 33 season matches

Al Nassr kept 17 clean sheets this season compared to 6 for Al Taawoun

影响因素

Home advantage at Al-Awwal Park on natural grass

Stadium statistics show an average of 2.6 goals per game

Both teams have only 3 days of rest since their last match

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