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Pro League

Al Fateh - Al Ittihad

08/29/2026, 06:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Al Fateh
1.8
Total xG
2.9
Al Ittihad
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
AFAI

Al Fateh

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
+0.96
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.49
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.30
状态下滑 (0.2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.29
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第5位, 相差7位)
-0.14
Mourad Batna替补席 (9球, 8助攻)
Sofiane Bendebka未进大名单 (9球, 1助攻)
Jorge Fernandes未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
71%进球产出缺失 (仅34%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.2球)

Al Ittihad

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-0.93
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.26
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.06
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第12位, 相差7位)
+0.04

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.50
+0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

26%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

74%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Severely weakened home side: Only 34% of typical starting XI strength is available, with key goal threats Mourad Batna and Sofiane Bendebka missing
  • Tactical trend: Al Ittihad averaged 4.0 shots on target out of 11.6 total shots in recent matches
  • Offensive momentum: Al Ittihad scores more frequently now, averaging 1.8 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.6
风险因素
  • Al Fateh's attacking output is struggling, with only 0.25 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 1.21
  • Al Ittihad enters this fixture with only 5 days of rest since their last match
概述

Al Fateh (17th place, 1 point) host Al Ittihad (3rd place, 7 points) at the Al Fateh Club Stadium

Pro League match on August 29, 2026, 8:00 PM

The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 52%

An away win is valued at 23%

近期状态

Al Fateh in poor form with the form string LWDLL

The hosts recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Al Ittihad shows rising form with the string LLDWW

The visitors recorded 2 consecutive wins, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses overall

统计数据

Al Fateh averages 1.21 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per game this season

At home, their production drops to 1.19 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded

Al Ittihad averages 1.62 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded per match

In away matches, Al Ittihad scores an average of 1.65 goals

The historical home venue stats at Al Fateh Club Stadium show an average of 3.25 goals per game

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Al Ittihad won 2, Al Fateh won 1, and 1 ended in a draw

The last meeting on January 29, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw

Al Ittihad scored 8 goals in these matches, compared to 6 goals for Al Fateh

Al Ittihad is historically dominant in recent encounters

关键球员

Fahad Aqeel Al-Zubaidi recorded 3 goals and 3 assists in 31 season appearances

Zaydou Youssouf scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists in 32 matches with an average rating of 7.07

Saeed Baattia has 1 goal in 31 games with a stable form trend

Steven Bergwijn stands out for the visitors with 3 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games

Youssef En-Nesyri scored an impressive 4 goals in his last 5 appearances

Houssem Aouar has contributed 8 goals and 4 assists so far this season

门将

Adrian Semper is in goal for Al Fateh, having played one match at this venue

Al Fateh recorded a total of 7 clean sheets this season

Predrag Rajković played 30 times in goal for Al Ittihad this season

Al Ittihad kept a total of 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Al Fateh Club Stadium

Al Fateh scored an average of 1.19 goals and conceded 1.24 in home games

Al Ittihad conceded an average of 1.35 goals in away matches, while scoring 1.65

The historical goal average at this stadium stands at 3.25 goals per game

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