🇸🇦

Pro League

Al Ahli - Al Riyadh

09/04/2026, 06:00 PM

5 : 0
预期进球
Al Ahli
2.6
Total xG
3.4
Al Riyadh
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

11%

3:0

10%

2:1

9%

3:1

8%

1:1

8%
xG 分解
AAAR

Al Ahli

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.61倍)
+1.54
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.53
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.18
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第15位, 相差12位)
+0.15
Riyad Mahrez未进大名单 (4球, 8助攻)
Firas Al-Buraikan替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

Al Riyadh

防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.45
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第3位, 相差12位)
-0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.09
35%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.42
+0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

75%

平局

17%

客胜

8%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

66%

Under 2.5

34%

Over 3.5

44%

Under 3.5

56%

双重机会

主胜或平局

92%

客胜或平局

25%

非平局

84%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Reduced starting strength for Al Ahli: Riyad Mahrez (4 goals, 8 assists) and Firas Al-Buraikan (5 goals, 1 assist) are not in the lineup
  • Mathematical analysis indicates a high home win probability of 75% with 2.61 expected home goals
  • Extreme defensive weakness for the visitors, averaging 2.35 goals conceded per away match this season
风险因素
  • Al Ahli with only 3 days of rest since their last match, significantly less recovery time than their opponent
  • Al Ahli averaged only 3.2 shots on target per match in recent games
概述

Al Ahli (8th place, 6 points) host Al Riyadh (12th place, 4 points) at the Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Pro League match on September 4, 2026, 8:00 PM

The hosts enter the match as clear favorites

近期状态

Al Ahli in mediocre form (LWDLL) with two consecutive losses recently

The home team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Al Riyadh (WLLDW) recently secured a victory against NEOM SC

The visitors achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their past 5 games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Al Ahli scored an average of 2.09 goals per match this season and conceded an average of 0.74

In home games, they scored an average of 2.05 goals while conceding only 0.59 per match

Al Riyadh scored an average of 1.03 goals per match and conceded an average of 1.85

Away from home, the visitors average 1.06 goals scored and 2.35 goals conceded per match

Al Ahli kept 17 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

Historical balance heavily favors the home side

In 4 head-to-head matches, Al Ahli achieved 3 wins and 1 draw

The goal difference stands at 8:1 in favor of Al Ahli

The last encounter ended in a 1-0 victory for Al Ahli

关键球员

Ivan Toney scored 32 goals and provided 7 assists this season, with an average rating of 7.51

Galeno contributed 1 goal and 7 assists, maintaining a season rating of 7.05

Valentin Atangana scored 5 goals this season with an average rating of 6.91

Teddy Okou recorded 1 goal and 8 assists with a rating of 6.90 this term

Leandro Antunes has already scored 7 goals this season with a rating of 7.24

Milan Borjan holds an average season rating of 6.81 in goal

门将

Edouard Mendy guards the goal for Al Ahli, maintaining an average rating of 6.87

His team kept 17 clean sheets this season

Milan Borjan is in goal for Al Riyadh, showing a season rating of 6.81

The visitors achieved 4 clean sheets so far this term

影响因素

Strong home record for Al Ahli, averaging 2.05 goals scored at home

Historical matches at this venue featured an average of 5.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 1 out of 2 matches at this stadium

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。