🇸🇦

Pro League

Al Ittihad - Al Nassr

09/05/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Al Ittihad
1.0
Total xG
3.3
Al Nassr
2.3
最可能的比分

0:2

10%

1:2

10%

1:1

9%

0:3

8%

1:3

8%
xG 分解
AIAN

Al Ittihad

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.12
Youssef En-Nesyri替补席 (6球, 0助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)

Al Nassr

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.64倍)
+1.26
防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.69
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.12
Iñigo Martínez未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均2.2球 vs 总体2.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.47
+0.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

13%

平局

20%

客胜

67%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

双重机会

主胜或平局

33%

客胜或平局

87%

非平局

80%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Al Nassr's offensive dominance with an average of 3.2 goals in recent matches compared to Al Ittihad's 1.5
  • Al Nassr averaged a strong 7.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a high away win probability of 67%
风险因素
  • Al Ittihad will have to play without key attacker Youssef En-Nesyri who is not in the lineup
  • Al Ittihad conceded an average of 2 goals per game in their most recent matches
概述

Al Ittihad (8th place, 8 points) host Al Nassr (2nd place, 12 points) at the Alinma Stadium

Pro League match on September 5, 2026, 6:00 PM

Al Nassr travel as unbeaten league runners-up and are clear favorites with a predicted win probability of 67%

近期状态

Home team Al Ittihad show a form trend of LDWWD over their recent matches

Away team Al Nassr arrive with a perfect winning streak of WWWWW

Al Nassr secured 5 wins in their last 5 matches, while Al Ittihad recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

统计数据

Al Nassr showcase an outstanding offense, scoring an average of 2.68 goals per game this season

Al Ittihad average 1.62 goals scored but also concede 1.41 goals per game

Defensive strength favors the visitors, who have kept 17 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

Even historical record with 2 wins for each team in the last 4 head-to-head matches

The last meeting on February 6, 2026, ended in a 2:0 victory for Al Nassr

Overall, Al Ittihad scored 5 goals and Al Nassr scored 7 goals in these direct duels

关键球员

Houssem Aouar leads Al Ittihad's midfield with 8 goals and 4 assists

Steven Bergwijn is in rising form, having scored 3 goals in his last 5 matches

For Al Nassr, Cristiano Ronaldo stands out with 28 goals, alongside João Félix who has 20 goals and 13 assists

门将

Predrag Rajković starts in goal for Al Ittihad with a season average rating of 6.84

Nawaf Al-Aqidi plays in goal for Al Nassr, a team that has achieved 17 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Alinma Stadium

The venue average stands at 3.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of the matches played at the Alinma Stadium

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