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Pro League

Al Kholood - Al Shabab

09/09/2026, 03:55 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Al Kholood
1.0
Total xG
2.5
Al Shabab
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%

2:1

6%

1:3

5%
xG 分解
AKAS

Al Kholood

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.62倍)
-0.63
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.23
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.10
John Buckley替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa替补席 (4球, 2助攻)
60%进球产出缺失 (仅31%可用)

Al Shabab

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.41倍)
+0.85
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.66
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

24%

平局

29%

客胜

47%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

53%

客胜或平局

76%

非平局

71%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Squad strength: Al Kholood are heavily hit with John Buckley (2G, 4A) and Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa (4G, 2A) missing, leaving only 32% of seasonal goal-scoring threat available
  • Tactical setup: Al Kholood averaged 4.8 shots on target per match with 47.4% possession in recent matches
  • Opposite trends: Al Kholood enter with positive momentum (DDWWD) compared to Al Shabab's negative form trend (LDDDL)
风险因素
  • Al Kholood concede an average of 2.07 goals per home match
  • Al Shabab have only 5 days of rest since their last match
  • Absence of midfielder T. Partey weakens the away team's center
概述

Al Kholood (8th place, 9 points) host Al Shabab (15th place, 3 points) at Ar-Rass Stadium

Pro League match on September 9, 2026, 4:55 PM

The mathematical model favors the visitors with a 47% win probability

近期状态

Al Kholood are unbeaten in their last 5 matches

2 wins and 3 draws recorded recently

Form code: DDWWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Al Shabab are without a win in their last 5 games

3 draws and 2 losses in their latest run

Form code: LDDDL

统计数据

Al Kholood score an average of 1.15 goals and concede 1.79 goals per game

They concede a high average of 2.07 goals in home matches

Al Shabab score on average 1.29 goals and concede 1.68 goals

Historically, matches at this venue have seen an average of 2.4 goals per game

历史交锋

There have been 4 direct head-to-head matches so far

Perfect balance with 2 wins for each side

The last meeting on February 7, 2026 ended in a 1-0 home win for Al Kholood

关键球员

For Al Kholood, Edgaras Utkus with 1 goal and 1 assist and Iker Kortajarena with 3 goals in the last 5 matches are key

Mansour Camara also shows rising form with 1 assist in recent games

Al Shabab rely on Yannick Carrasco who has 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 matches

Josh Brownhill with 1 goal and 1 assist and Yacine Adli with 1 assist also play vital roles

门将

Hamed Al-Shanqity will play in goal for the hosts, who kept 6 clean sheets so far this season

Mory Diaw lines up for the visitors with a strong 7.03 rating, while Al Shabab kept 7 clean sheets overall

影响因素

Al Kholood struggle at home conceding 2.07 goals per match on average

At the Ar-Rass Stadium, both teams scored in 60% of the historical games played here

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