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Pro League

Al Shabab - Al-Fayha

09/12/2026, 06:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Al Shabab
1.8
Total xG
3.0
Al-Fayha
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
ASAL-

Al Shabab

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍)
+0.95
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.74
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.22
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
20%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)

Al-Fayha

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.38
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.17
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.13
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
+0.10
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.39
+0.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

26%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

74%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • Historical head-to-head dominance: Al Shabab won 3 out of 4 matches against Al-Fayha, conceding only 1 goal
  • Weak away defense of the visitors: Al-Fayha concedes an average of 2.12 goals away from home and kept only one clean sheet on the road
  • Model prediction favors the home side: The mathematical analysis calculates a 48% win probability for Al Shabab with 1.76 expected goals
风险因素
  • Physical fatigue: Al Shabab enters the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Form crisis on both sides: Both teams have been winless for 5 league matches (Al Shabab with DDDLL, Al-Fayha with LLDDL)
  • Declining offensive production: Both clubs are scoring less recently than their season average (Al Shabab 1.25 goals vs 1.4 season avg, Al-Fayha 1.00 vs 1.22)
概述

Al Shabab hosts Al-Fayha at the Al-Shabab Club Stadium in Riyadh

Pro League match on September 12, 2026, 6:00 PM

Bottom-table clash between 15th-placed Al Shabab with 3 points and 11th-placed Al-Fayha with 5 points

近期状态

Al Shabab enters with a DDDLL form and is still searching for their first league win

Al-Fayha travels with a LLDDL form and is also winless in their last five matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Al Shabab scores an average of 1.29 goals and concedes 1.68 goals per match

Al-Fayha struggles defensively away from home, conceding an average of 2.12 goals

The visitors have kept only one clean sheet in their away matches this season

历史交锋

Al Shabab dominates the head-to-head record with 3 wins and 1 draw from 4 matches

The goal difference of 5:1 favors the home side

The last encounter on February 1, 2026, ended in a 1-0 win for Al Shabab

关键球员

Yannick Carrasco stands out with a 7.43 rating, one goal, and one assist

Yacine Adli contributes in midfield with a 7.43 rating and one assist

Josh Brownhill recorded a 7.19 rating, one goal, and two assists

Lázaro leads the visitors with a 7.28 rating, two goals, and one assist

Hugo Moura added two goals this season with a 7.18 rating

Fashion Sakala has one goal with a 6.82 rating

门将

Mory Diaw has made 3 appearances for Al Shabab with a 6.93 rating

Orlando Mosquera guards the goal for Al-Fayha with a 7.19 rating in 6 matches

Both defensive units have kept 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Al-Shabab Club Stadium is known for high-scoring games, averaging 4.6 goals per match

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of the home matches

Al Shabab has a physical disadvantage with only 3 days of rest compared to Al-Fayha's 4

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