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Pro League

Al Taawoun - Al Hilal

09/12/2026, 03:50 PM

0 : 6
预期进球
Al Taawoun
1.2
Total xG
2.9
Al Hilal
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
ATAH

Al Taawoun

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.23倍)
-0.54
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.36
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.32
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.20
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.16
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第3位, 相差11位)
-0.15
Abderrazak Hamdallah未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
61%进球产出缺失 (仅71%可用)

Al Hilal

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.49
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.81倍)
+0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.13
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第14位, 相差11位)
+0.09
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
-0.03
Sultan Mandash替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.39
+0.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

27%

客胜

47%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

53%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

73%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Table disparity: Third-placed Al Hilal face fourteenth-placed Al Taawoun
  • Tactical superiority: Al Hilal averaged 7.2 shots on target in recent matches compared to Al Taawoun's 3.2
  • Model prediction: The mathematical analysis estimates a 48% win probability for the away side Al Hilal
风险因素
  • Low-scoring stadium trend: Matches at King Abdullah Sport City Stadium recently averaged only 1.0 goals
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah is missing for Al Taawoun leaving only 71% of their active goal threat available
  • Declining offensive output for Al Taawoun with recently 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.7
概述

Al Taawoun host Al Hilal at the King Abdullah Sport City Stadium

Pro League match on September 12, 2026, 4:50 PM

Al Taawoun sit in 14th place with 3 points near the relegation zone

Al Hilal travel as 3rd in the standings with 15 points fighting for the top

近期状态

Al Taawoun show weak form with the form string LDLDL

The home team recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses across all competitions

Al Hilal display strong form with the form string WWWWL

The visitors achieved 4 wins and suffered 1 defeat

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Al Taawoun scored an average of 1.74 goals per match while conceding 1.35 this season

Al Hilal stand out offensively with an average of 2.50 goals scored and only 0.79 conceded per game

At home Al Taawoun scored an average of 1.71 goals

Al Hilal remain highly dangerous on the road with 2.44 goals per away game

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches Al Hilal won 2 times with 2 draws

The goal difference stands at 3:7 against Al Taawoun

The last encounter ended in a 2:2 draw on April 4, 2026

关键球员

Marin Petkov impresses with an average rating of 7.47 and 1 assist in 6 matches

Bassam Al-Hurayji solidifies the defense and already scored 1 goal this season

Rúben Neves leads Al Hilal with 3 goals, 2 assists and a strong rating of 7.92

Sergej Milinkovic-Savic contributed 4 goals in 6 matches

Crysencio Summerville shines with 2 goals and 2 assists

门将

Mailson guards the goal for Al Taawoun with 6 clean sheets and a rating of 7.28

Yassine Bounou stars for Al Hilal keeping 16 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the King Abdullah Sport City Stadium

Stadium history shows a very low-scoring trend with an average of only 1.0 goals per game

Home advantage for Al Taawoun might be compromised by their current poor form

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