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Pro League

Al Khaleej - Al Nassr

09/12/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Al Khaleej
1.0
Total xG
2.7
Al Nassr
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

10%

0:2

9%

2:1

6%

1:3

6%
xG 分解
AKAN

Al Khaleej

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-1.01
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.58
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.43
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.34
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第4位, 相差9位)
-0.10

Al Nassr

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.58倍)
+0.85
防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.57
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.56
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第13位, 相差9位)
+0.07
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
-0.04
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.7球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.39
+0.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

21%

平局

27%

客胜

52%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

48%

客胜或平局

79%

非平局

73%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Standings gap: Al Nassr secured 15 points and won four of their last five matches, while Al Khaleej remain completely winless
  • Offensive dominance: Al Nassr average 2.68 goals per season game, whereas Al Khaleej's recent scoring has stalled to just 0.5 goals on average
  • Historical upper hand: Al Nassr won all 4 previous direct duels with a combined goal difference of 14 to 2
风险因素
  • Low active goal share: Only 16% of Al Nassr's seasonal goal production is active within the available squad players
  • Al Khaleej defensive struggles: The hosts conceded an average of 4.0 goals per game in recent matches, well above their seasonal average
  • High-scoring venue trend: The EGO STADIUM averages 4.4 total goals per match with an 80% BTTS rate, indicating high volatility
概述

Al Khaleej host Al Nassr at the EGO STADIUM

Pro League fixture on September 12, 2026, 8:00 PM

The hosts are in 13th place with 4 points near the bottom of the table

Al Nassr travel as the clear favorites in 4th place with 15 points

The mathematical model calculates an away win probability of 52%

近期状态

Al Khaleej are still waiting for their first league win with a form of DDLLD

The home side recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses recently

Al Nassr show a strong form of WWWWL with 4 wins and 1 loss

While Al Nassr score consistently, Al Khaleej's goal production has stalled at just 0.5 goals per game recently

统计数据

Al Khaleej score an average of 1.59 goals and concede 1.82 goals per game this season

The hosts averaged 2.8 shots on target from 9.4 total shots per game in recent matches

Al Nassr score an impressive 2.68 goals per match while conceding only 0.82 goals

The visitors averaged 7.2 shots on target from 16.2 total shots in recent matches

历史交锋

Al Nassr dominate the direct history with 4 wins from 4 matches

The goal difference stands at 14 to 2 goals in favor of the visitors

The last head-to-head match ended in a dominant 5-0 victory for Al Nassr on March 14, 2026

关键球员

Saleh Mohammed Fares Al Jaman has 1 goal in 6 appearances with a rating of 6.92

Omar Mascarell shows stable performances in midfield with a rating of 6.78

Angelo Fulgini has 3 appearances with a strong average rating of 7.03

João Félix leads the visitors with 2 goals, 2 assists, and a rating of 7.95

Sadio Mané contributed 2 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.45

Cristiano Ronaldo scored 3 goals with an average rating of 7.32 in 5 matches

门将

Anthony Moris starts in goal for Al Khaleej with an average rating of 6.78

The hosts recorded 4 clean sheets this season

Bento guards the goal for Al Nassr with a rating of 6.27

The visitors boast an impressive 17 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the EGO STADIUM

The stadium statistics show a high-scoring average of 4.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of the matches played at the EGO STADIUM

Al Khaleej score an average of 1.56 goals and concede 1.72 goals at home

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