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Pro League

Al-Qadsiah - Al Ettifaq

09/11/2026, 03:25 PM

3 : 3
预期进球
Al-Qadsiah
2.1
Total xG
3.0
Al Ettifaq
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
AL-AE

Al-Qadsiah

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.3倍)
+0.84
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.38
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.05
Julian Weigl替补席 (1球, 3助攻)

Al Ettifaq

防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.50
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.46
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
Moussa Dembélé替补席 (9球, 2助攻)
Álvaro Medrán替补席 (1球, 8助攻)
Madallah Al-Olayan替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
48%进球产出缺失 (仅49%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

23%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

77%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Squad impact: Only 50% of Al Ettifaq's goal threat is available, with Moussa Dembélé, Álvaro Medrán, and Madallah Al-Olayan missing
  • Tactical dominance: Al-Qadsiah recently averaged 6.2 shots on target per match with 58% possession
  • Strong home record: Al-Qadsiah scores an average of 2.5 goals at home while conceding only 0.81
风险因素
  • High workload: Al-Qadsiah has a tight recovery window with only 3 days since their last match
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
概述

Al-Qadsiah (3rd place, 15 points) host Al Ettifaq (8th place, 10 points) at the EGO STADIUM

Pro League match on September 11, 2026, 5:25 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 61% probability

近期状态

Al-Qadsiah shows strong form with the form string WWLWW and 4 wins from the last 5 matches

Al Ettifaq has an inconsistent form with the form string LDWWL and 2 wins

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Al-Qadsiah scores an average of 2.44 goals and concedes only 1 goal per match

Al Ettifaq averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded

Al-Qadsiah's home record is highly offensive with 2.5 goals scored per match

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadsiah won 2 times and Al Ettifaq won once, with 1 draw

The goal difference is 9:4 in favor of Al-Qadsiah

The last encounter ended in a 3-2 win for Al Ettifaq on April 5, 2026

关键球员

Julián Quiñones shines for Al-Qadsiah with 33 goals and 4 assists this season

Mateo Retegui supports the attack with 16 goals and 1 assist

For Al Ettifaq, Khalid Al-Ghannam is the most dangerous player with 13 goals and 6 assists

门将

Koen Casteels guards the goal for Al-Qadsiah and has kept 10 clean sheets this season

Al Ettifaq relies on Turki Ba Al-Jawsh, whose team has kept 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the EGO STADIUM

The venue statistics show an average of 3.2 goals per match at this location

Al-Qadsiah benefits from home advantage, conceding only 0.81 goals on average in front of their fans

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