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Pro League

Al Ahli - Al Hazm

09/11/2026, 06:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Al Ahli
2.2
Total xG
3.0
Al Hazm
0.7
最可能的比分

2:0

13%

3:0

10%

1:1

9%

2:1

9%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
AAAH

Al Ahli

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.47倍)
+1.08
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.50
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.09
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第9位, 相差6位)
+0.07
Firas Al-Buraikan替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Rayan Hamed替补席 (3球, 0助攻)

Al Hazm

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.61倍)
-0.86
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.10
排名劣势 (第9位 vs 第3位, 相差6位)
-0.04
Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
61%进球产出缺失 (仅52%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

71%

平局

20%

客胜

9%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

91%

客胜或平局

29%

非平局

80%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Weakened visitors: Al Hazm has only 53% of their usual goal threat available without Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe
  • Clear model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a 71% probability of a home win for Al Ahli
  • Defense gap: Al Ahli's strong defense (0.74 goals conceded on average) meets Al Hazm's fragile away defense (1.93 away goals conceded on average)
风险因素
  • Fatigue risk: Both teams enter this match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Form slump for Al Ahli: The home team secured only one victory in their last five competitive matches
  • Struggling attack: Al Ahli averaged 1.8 goals recently, down from their season average of 2.1
概述

Al Ahli (9th place, 9 points) host Al Hazm (10th place, 8 points) at the Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Pro League match on September 11, 2026, 7:00 PM

A mid-table clash with a clear favorite role for Al Ahli according to the model

近期状态

Form string Al Ahli: DLLWL

Form string Al Hazm: WWLDW

Al Ahli have only 1 win and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Al Hazm are in better form with 3 wins and only 1 loss in their last 5 games

统计数据

Al Ahli average 2.09 goals scored and 0.74 goals conceded per game

Al Hazm average 1.12 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded per game

Al Ahli are defensively strong with 17 clean sheets this season

Al Hazm recorded only 4 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in the database

Al Ahli won both encounters with a goal difference of 4-0

The last meeting ended in a 2-0 win for Al Ahli on February 5, 2026

关键球员

Ivan Toney has scored 32 goals and provided 7 assists with a 7.51 rating

Galeno has registered 1 goal and 7 assists with a 7.05 rating

Aboubacar Bah has contributed 3 goals for Al Hazm with a 7.12 rating

门将

Edouard Mendy plays for Al Ahli with a 6.87 rating and contributed to 17 clean sheets

Ibrahim Zaied is in goal for Al Hazm with a 7.04 rating and contributed to 4 clean sheets

影响因素

The Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium averages 5.0 goals per match

Al Ahli boast a strong home record, scoring 2.05 goals and conceding only 0.59 on average

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