比赛报告 →
Al Hazm – NEOM SC1 : 1
模型为何这样判断
Al Hazm
1.73
总 xG
3.26
NEOM SC
1.53
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Al Hazm | NEOM SC |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3球) | +0.50 | +0.50 |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球) | +0.12 | |
| 状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均) | +0.12 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球) | +0.04 | |
| 小样本 (2场) - 均值回归 | +0.01 | |
| Khalil Al-Absi替补席 (0球, 2助攻) |
关键因素
- Form trend: NEOM SC enter with 3 consecutive wins and raised their recent scoring average to 1.8 goals per match
- Model forecast: The calculations show a 41% home win probability and a 63% chance for over 2.5 goals
- Attacking threat: Alexandre Lacazette (5 goals) and Amadou Koné (4 goals) lead NEOM SC's dangerous offense
风险
- Match break: Al Hazm have not played for 29 days and NEOM SC for 27 days
- Defensive vulnerability: Al Hazm concede an average of 1.68 goals per game this season
- Head-to-head record: Al Hazm are winless in 2 previous matches against NEOM SC
全部概率
赛果
Al Hazm41%
平局26%
NEOM SC33%
进球
大于 1.585%
小于 1.515%
大于 2.563%
小于 2.537%
大于 3.541%
小于 3.559%
双重机会
Al Hazm或平局67%
NEOM SC或平局59%
非平局74%
双方均进球
是66%
否34%
最可能的比分
1:1
11%
2:1
9%
1:2
8%
2:2
7%
2:0
6%
首发阵容
Al Hazm 4-3-3 · NEOM SC 4-4-2
Al Hazm
- 36 J. Staněk
- 2 S. Al Rashed
- 4 S. Tanker
- 34 A. Al Dakheel
- 27 A. Al-Nakhli
- 24 A. Bah
- 17 B. Mugisha
- 28 S. Bendebka
- 22 A. Al Dhuwayhi
- 10 A. Sayoud
- 29 A. Diakite
NEOM SC
- 1 M. Bulka
- 15 A. Abdulmalik
- 5 M. Sarr
- 44 N. Zeze
- 27 I. Hawsawi
- 77 M. Saeed Al Saad
- 23 V. Vada
- 72 A. Koné
- 7 G. Masouras
- 91 A. Lacazette
- 70 H. Camara
替补
- 7 E. Acolatse
- 5 M. Issa Al Yami
- 13 A. Al-Shanqiti
- 23 I. Zaied
- 70 A. Al-Shamrani
- 3 A. Ben Hmida
- 8 M. Konate
- 11 W. Al-shangeati
- 77 M. Al-Hamdani
- 95 J. Ateeq
- 14 Khalil Alabsi
- 75 K. Al Rammah
- 8 F. Al-Ghamdi
- 4 K. Aldawsari
- 6 A. Alhassan
- 10 M. Benrahma
- 55 M. Al Dosari
- 2 M. Al Burayk
- 33 A. Dagriri
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