Super League
Thun - St. Gallen
03/05/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.7
3.6
1.9
1:2
9%2:1
7%2:2
7%1:3
5%2:3
5%xG 分解
Thun
St. Gallen
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
24%
客胜
43%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
48%
Under 3.5
52%
双重机会
主胜或平局
57%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
70%
否
30%
关键因素
- Prediction: The mathematical analysis suggests an away win for St. Gallen with 43% probability, with 1.92 predicted goals
- Form: Thun is in outstanding condition with five consecutive victories
- Offensive Strength: Both teams demonstrate positive offensive performance, Thun currently with 2.8 goals per game and St. Gallen with 2.5 goals per game
风险因素
- Head-to-head: Thun's historically poor record against St. Gallen with 3 losses in 5 direct duels could pose a risk
- Goal Potential: The high goal potential of the match, with an Over 3.5 probability of 48% and an average of 4.2 goals in recent games at the Stockhorn Arena, could complicate outcome prediction
概述
Thun (1st place, 64 points) hosts St. Gallen (2nd place, 50 points) at the Stockhorn Arena
Super League match on March 5, 2026, 8:30 PM
Thun aims to defend its league lead, while St. Gallen seeks to close the gap to the top
近期状态
Thun is in excellent form with a form string of WWWWW
This corresponds to 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses in the last 5 games
St. Gallen shows strong form with WDWDW
In their last 5 encounters, they achieved 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Thun scores an average of 2.3 goals per season and concedes 1.07 goals
At home, the average is 2.29 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded
St. Gallen averages 1.96 goals scored per season and 1.22 goals conceded
Away from home, St. Gallen averages 1.93 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded
Thun has kept 6 clean sheets this season, St. Gallen 7
In 19 games for both teams, both teams scored
The Stockhorn Arena averages 4.2 goals per game
In 4 out of 5 matches at this arena, both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were registered
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun secured 2 wins, St. Gallen 3 wins, and there were no draws
Thun scored 7 goals in these encounters, while St. Gallen recorded 11 goals
The last meeting on December 13, 2025, ended with a 0:2 away win for St. Gallen
St. Gallen has been dominant in recent direct duels
关键球员
For Thun, Elmin Rastoder (11 goals, 4 assists, current form rating 7.32) and Valmir Matoshi (4 goals, 4 assists, current form rating 7.33) are key attacking players, both showing an upward trend in their ratings over the last 5 games
Kastriot Imeri contributed 6 goals and 5 assists, also improving his rating trend (7.27)
For St. Gallen, Alessandro Vogt stands out with 14 season goals and 3 assists, though his current form is declining
Carlo Boukhalfa scored 10 goals and 3 assists, his form is stable
Lukas Görtler is an important assist provider with 4 goals and 8 assists
门将
Thun goalkeeper Niklas Steffen recorded 6 clean sheets this season
St. Gallen goalkeeper Lawrence Ati Zigi achieved 7 clean sheets
影响因素
Thun has a record of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with a 25:10 goal difference in 10 games on artificial turf
St. Gallen has played one game on artificial turf, resulting in one win (2:0 goals)
The Stockhorn Arena is known for high-scoring games, averaging 4.2 goals per match
In 80% of matches at this arena, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were registered