Friendly International
Canada - Chile
09/26/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.7
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Canada
Chile
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
29%
客胜
40%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
60%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- Offensive trend: Chile is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 2.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.3
- Canadian dominance: Canada averaged 6.2 shots on target per game with 54.2% possession in recent matches
- Mathematical prediction: The model calculates a slight favorite role for Chile with a 40% win probability and 1.43 expected goals
风险因素
- Tani Oluwaseyi is missing from the squad, leaving only 62.5% of the usual starting attacking threat available
- Chile's extreme away weakness with an average of 10.0 goals conceded per away match this season
- Long international break of 84 days for Canada and 112 days for Chile could affect the match rhythm
概述
Canada hosts Chile at BMO Field
International friendly on September 26, 2026, 11:00 PM
A balanced and open international fixture lies ahead
近期状态
Canada shows a balanced form of DWLWL in recent matches
Last match ended in a 0-3 defeat against Morocco
Chile enters with a form of WWWLL from their past games
Chile's most recent game was a 1-2 loss to Portugal
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Canada scored an average of 1.8 goals per game this season and conceded 1.2 goals
At home, Canada scored an average of 1.75 goals per game
Chile scored an average of 0.5 goals per game across 18 matches this season
Away from home, Chile conceded an average of 10.0 goals per game this season
历史交锋
No historical head-to-head matches found in the database
This is the first recorded direct encounter between these two nations
关键球员
Jonathan David scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in his last appearances for his team
Cyle Larin recorded 2 goals in his last 5 matches
Tajon Buchanan appeared in all of the last 5 matches, reaching a form rating of 7.04
Gonzalo Tapia scored 2 goals this season and recently added 1 goal and 1 assist
Darío Osorio showed rising form with a rating of 7.37 and 1 goal in recent games
César Pérez impressed with 1 goal and 2 assists alongside a rating of 7.33 in his recent appearances
门将
Dayne St. Clair achieved an average rating of 6.45 this season
Canada recorded a total of 2 clean sheets during this campaign
Lawrence Vigouroux holds an average rating of 6.83 for the season
Chile secured a total of 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at BMO Field
Venue statistics show a high average of 4.4 goals per game
At this stadium, both teams scored in all of the last 5 matches
Canada scores an average of 1.75 goals at home, while Chile concedes an average of 10.0 goals away