Friendly International
Canada - Peru
10/03/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.4
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
11%2:1
9%0:1
8%xG 分解
Canada
Peru
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
31%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Tactical dominance: Canada averaged 55% possession in recent matches and showed strong offensive output with 6.6 shots on target per game
- Defensive fragility: Peru concedes an average of 2.17 goals per match this season and is yet to keep a clean sheet
- Statistical advantage: The mathematical model predicts a 41% home win probability compared to just 28% for Peru
风险因素
- Reduced lineup strength: Canada starts with only 68% of their usual lineup strength
- Short recovery window: Peru enters this match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
- Away defensive struggle: Peru concedes an average of 2.67 goals per away game
概述
Canada host Peru at BC Place Stadium
Friendly international on October 3, 2026, 8:00 PM
The hosts enter this match as the favorites
The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 41%
近期状态
Canada with a record of 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
Form string of the hosts is WLWLW
Peru travels with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
The guests' form string shows DWLLD
统计数据
Canada scores an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding 1.2
The hosts also recorded 2 clean sheets in 5 matches
Peru concedes an average of 2.17 goals while scoring 1.17
The guests have not kept a single clean sheet this season
关键球员
Jonathan David impressed with 3 season goals and an average rating of 7.35
Liam Millar contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in recent matches
Stephen Eustaquio recently scored 1 goal in 4 appearances
Jairo Vélez is Peru's most dangerous asset with 5 season goals and a rating of 7.15
Yoshimar Yotún has already stood out with 2 assists this season
Marcos López provided 1 assist and holds a rating of 6.78
门将
Owen Goodman starts in goal for Canada
Diego Romero stands between the posts for the guests
Canada has 2 clean sheets this season while Peru is yet to record a shutout
影响因素
The match takes place at the BC Place Stadium on artificial turf
Canada's home record on this surface stands at 2S-0U-2N (8:5 goals)
There are no surface records available for Peru on artificial turf
Historical matches at this venue average 4.2 goals per game