Friendly International

Japan - Venezuela

09/28/2026, 10:25 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Japan
1.2
Total xG
2.5
Venezuela
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
JAPVEN

Japan

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.53
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.20
Keito Nakamura替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Ayase Ueda替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

Venezuela

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.41倍)
+0.17
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.03
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
Gleiker Mendoza替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Cristian Cásseres Jr.替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

31%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

69%

双方进球

是

52%

否

48%

关键因素
  • Only 0% of the usual starting line-up strength available for Japan, with Keito Nakamura and Ayase Ueda missing
  • Venezuela also fields just 0% of their usual starting strength, without Gleiker Mendoza and Cristian Cásseres Jr.
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an extremely tight match with a 36% home win and 34% away win probability
风险因素
  • Japan averaged only 3.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Venezuela concedes an average of 3.33 goals per away game this season
  • Restricted dataset with no historical head-to-head encounters available
概述

Japan face Venezuela at the Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

International Friendly on September 28, 2026, 11:25 AM

A highly balanced mathematical forecast for this matchup

近期状态

Japan has a form of DWDLW with 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches

Most recently they secured a 3-1 victory against Uruguay

Venezuela travels with a form of LWDLW, including 2 wins and 2 losses

Venezuela's last match ended in a 2-0 win against Iraq

统计数据

Japan scores an average of 3.38 goals per game this season and concedes only 0.19

Venezuela averages 1.00 goal scored and 1.56 conceded per match

The visitors conceded 20 goals in 6 away games, averaging 3.33 per match

Japan has kept 13 clean sheets so far this season

关键球员

Daichi Kamada provided 3 assists in the last 5 matches with an average rating of 6.94

Tsuyoshi Watanabe features in defense with an average rating of 6.95 in his last 4 matches

Shuto Nakano scored 1 goal and made 1 assist in 2 appearances with a rating of 7.82

Yangel Herrera scored 1 goal in the last 5 matches for Venezuela with a rating of 6.88

Jon Aramburu holds a rating of 6.90 over the last 5 matches in defense

Nahuel Ferraresi reached an average rating of 6.98 across 5 appearances in defense

门将

Leo Kokubo played in goal 4 times in the last 5 games, securing a rating of 6.75

José Contreras featured in goal 3 times for Venezuela, achieving a rating of 6.94

Japan has kept 13 clean sheets this season

Venezuela has managed 6 clean sheets so far this term

影响因素

The match takes place at the Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Historically, this stadium sees an average of 3.75 goals per game

Japan shows a strong home record with 27 goals scored and only 1 conceded in 8 home games

Venezuela concedes an average of 3.33 goals per game in away matches

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