Friendly International
India - Brazil
10/03/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
0.9
3.3
2.5
0:2
11%1:2
9%0:3
9%1:1
9%1:3
8%xG 分解
India
Brazil
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
10%
平局
18%
客胜
72%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
双重机会
主胜或平局
28%
客胜或平局
90%
非平局
82%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact: Brazil are missing key players, with only 59% of the usual starting XI goal share available without Rayan, Bruno Guimarães, and Casemiro
- Tactical dominance: Brazil averaged 6.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to India's 2.0
- Model prediction: High win probability of 72% for Brazil with 2.46 expected goals
风险因素
- Limited data availability on historical head-to-head matches
- Severe offensive weakness for India averaging only 0.5 goals per game this season
- Brazil's altered lineup with only 59% active goal share due to key absences
概述
India host Brazil at the Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan Stadium
International Friendly on October 3, 2026, 4:00 PM
The visitors from Brazil enter this match as clear favorites
The mathematical model predicts 2.46 expected goals for Brazil
近期状态
India are in a difficult phase with a form of LLLDD
The hosts are winless in their last 5 matches, recording two draws recently
Brazil show a positive form trend of WWLDW with a win in their last match
The visitors currently score more frequently with 2.2 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.8
统计数据
India score an average of only 0.5 goals per game while conceding 1.17
Brazil average 0.94 goals conceded per game this season
The visitors averaged 17.4 total shots per game in recent matches
India averaged only 2.0 shots on target in recent matches
关键球员
Ryan Williams scored one goal in his single season appearance for India
Akash Mishra contributed one assist from defense
Vinicius Junior is Brazil's key threat with 2 goals and 2 assists in 6 games
门将
Gurpreet Singh Sandhu starts in goal for India with a season average rating of 6.02
Pedro Morisco started three times recently in goal for Brazil
Brazil have recorded 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match is played on grass at the Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan Stadium
The only recorded match at this venue ended in a 0-0 draw
Brazil hold a nominal advantage due to superior individual quality