Friendly International
Mexico - Peru
09/30/2026, 01:00 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
12%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Mexico
Peru
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
31%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Personnel shortage: Only 23% of Mexico's goal threat is available with Jesús Gallardo and Johan Vásquez missing
- Defensive advantage: Mexico concedes only 0.33 goals per game on average compared to Peru's 2.4
- Tactical edge: Mexico averaged 4.2 shots on target in recent matches compared to Peru's 2.6
风险因素
- Mexico with only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Limited data availability for historical head-to-head matches
- Peru concedes an average of 2.33 goals in away matches
概述
Mexico faces Peru in an international friendly match
The game will be played at the Sports Illustrated Stadium
The mathematical model estimates a 47% probability of a home win for Mexico
近期状态
Mexico enters with a form of WWWLD consisting of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Peru shows a form of LDWLL with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Mexico averages 1.78 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded per game this season
Peru concedes an average of 2.4 goals while scoring 1.2 goals per game
Mexico has kept 4 clean sheets in home games this season
关键球员
Germán Berterame leads Mexico's attack with a season average rating of 6.74
Jeremy Márquez scored 1 goal in his last 5 matches for Mexico
Jairo Vélez is Peru's key threat with 4 goals in 5 games
门将
Óscar García starts in goal for Mexico aiming to maintain defensive strength
Pedro Gallese features for Peru but is yet to record a clean sheet this season
影响因素
The match takes place on a grass surface at the Sports Illustrated Stadium
The venue averages 2.8 total goals per game historically
The model estimates a 46% probability of both teams scoring