Friendly International

Mexico - Colombia

09/27/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Mexico
1.2
Total xG
2.6
Colombia
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
MEXCOL

Mexico

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.31
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.11
全员可用

Colombia

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.47
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.24
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
-0.01
Luis Díaz未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
James Rodríguez未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅51%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

29%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

71%

双方进球

是

54%

否

46%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact for Colombia: Only 51% of usual goal threat is available without Luis Díaz and James Rodríguez
  • Colombia averaged 4.8 shots on target with 60% possession in recent matches
  • Mathematical models favor Colombia with a 42% win probability despite key absences
风险因素
  • Limited data availability due to missing league standings for this friendly match
  • Colombia concedes an average of 1.38 goals per away match this season
  • Absence in the Mexican defense due to the injury of C. Montes Castro
概述

International friendly between Mexico and Colombia at Soldier Field

Kickoff on September 27, 2026, 3:00 AM

No league standings available for this exhibition match

Colombia enters as a slight favorite based on mathematical models

近期状态

Mexico shows form WWWWL over their last 5 matches

Last match was a 2-3 defeat against England

Colombia holds form WWDWD and remains unbeaten in 5 games

Most recent match was a 0-0 draw against Switzerland

统计数据

Mexico scores avg 1.88 goals and concedes just 0.25 per game this season

At home, Mexico scores avg 1.86 and concedes 0.29 goals

Colombia averages 1.56 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match

Away from home, Colombia concedes an average of 1.38 goals

历史交锋

Only 1 head-to-head match recorded between these sides

Colombia won that meeting 4-0 on October 12, 2025

Goal record stands at 4-0 in favor of Colombia

关键球员

Gilberto Mora scored 4 goals and provided 1 assist in the last 5 matches

Roberto Alvarado recorded 2 goals and 1 assist recently

Johan Vásquez impressed with 2 goals from his last 5 appearances

Luis Suárez excelled for Colombia with 6 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games

Andrés Gómez contributed 1 goal and 1 assist recently

Jhon Lucumí provided 1 assist in his last 5 matches

门将

Raúl Rangel guards the goal for Mexico and has recorded 6 clean sheets this season

Álvaro Montero is in goal for Colombia, accumulating 459 minutes played over the last 5 games

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at Soldier Field

Historically, Soldier Field averaged 2.8 goals per match over the last 5 games

Both teams found the net in all 5 listed games at Soldier Field

Weather data is not available for this encounter

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