比赛报告 →
Austria Wien – Sporting Braga0 : 0
模型为何这样判断
Austria Wien
1.79
总 xG
2.73
Sporting Braga
0.94
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Austria Wien | Sporting Braga |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均2.9球) | +0.39 | +0.39 |
| 进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍) | −0.26 | |
| 最近5场中4场零封 | −0.15 | |
| 小样本 (2场) - 均值回归 | +0.13 | |
| 小样本 (0场) - 均值回归 | −0.05 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球) | −0.05 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球) | −0.04 | |
| 主场表现强势 (场均2.3球 vs 总体1.7球) | ||
| 全员可用 | ||
| 全员可用 |
关键因素
- Limited offensive threat: Only 20% of Austria Wien's seasonal goal production is actively available
- Tactical approach: Sporting Braga recently dominated with 55.8% possession and averaged 5.4 shots on target
- Statistical outlook: Despite the 0-2 first-leg deficit the model calculates a 56% probability for a home win
风险
- Defensive vulnerability: Austria Wien concedes an average of 1.93 goals per home match
- Limited player statistics for Sporting Braga in the provided dataset
全部概率
赛果
Austria Wien56%
平局26%
Sporting Braga18%
进球
大于 1.577%
小于 1.523%
大于 2.551%
小于 2.549%
大于 3.529%
小于 3.571%
双重机会
Austria Wien或平局82%
Sporting Braga或平局44%
非平局74%
双方均进球
是52%
否48%
最可能的比分
1:1
12%
2:0
10%
2:1
10%
3:0
6%
3:1
6%
0:0
最终比分
首发阵容
Austria Wien 3-4-3 · Sporting Braga 3-4-2-1
Austria Wien
- 1 S. Sahin-Radlinger
- 46 J. Handl
- 15 A. Dragović
- 16 Lee Kang-Hee
- 26 R. Ranftl
- 30 M. Fischer
- 22 F. Wustinger
- 17 T. Lee
- 20 J. Hettwer
- 19 J. Eggestein
- 14 K. Boateng
Sporting Braga
- 31 B. Parise Fontes
- 14 G. Lagerbielke
- 6 V. Carvalho Vieira
- 44 A. Bajrami
- 2 V. Gómez Perea
- 34 D. Tıknaz
- 8 J. Iria Santos Moutinho
- 11 G. Silva Vieira
- 10 Pau Victor
- 50 D. Oliveira Rodrigues
- 9 F. Navarro Aliaga
替补
- 47 A. Kanté
- 13 L. Wedl
- 21 M. Schablas
- 6 P. Maybach
- 10 S. Saljic
- 99 M. Kos
- 37 M. Wels
- 7 V. Markovic
- 40 D. Nnodim
- 44 V. Toifl
- 74 H. Deshishku
- 32 K. Jusic
- 37 L. Barišić
- 17 J. Milošević
- 22 S. Barcia Laranxeira
- 53 J. Zamith Oliveira Noro
- 12 T. Magalhães Sá
- 20 M. Dorgeles
- 77 G. Martínez Aguilera
- 7 D. Martins Travassos
- 78 J. Gonçalo Carapinha
- 90 L. Teixeira Pinto
- 87 J. Costa Trovisco
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