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Europa Conference League

Sion - Ajax

08/20/2026, 06:15 PM

2 : 4
预期进球
Sion
1.3
Total xG
2.2
Ajax
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

2:0

9%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
SIOAJA

Sion

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.33
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.26
状态上升 (2.8 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.26
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.5倍)
-0.09
全员可用

Ajax

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.70
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.22
状态上升 (2.6 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.22
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.21
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.45
+0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

32%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

68%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Sion is scoring more frequently in recent games, averaging 2.8 goals compared to their season average of 2.0
  • Ajax played highly dominantly in recent matches, averaging 67% possession and 7.8 shots on target
  • Sion's strong home defense, conceding just 0.82 goals per game on average, supports the mathematical home win prediction of 43%
风险因素
  • Ajax conceded an average of 1.41 goals per away match this season
  • Restricted data availability regarding detailed player form statistics
概述

Sion host Ajax at the Stade de Tourbillon

Europa Conference League match on August 20, 2026, 8:15 PM

The hosts enter the match with a predicted home win probability of 43%

The mathematical model expects 1.28 goals for Sion and 0.94 goals for Ajax

近期状态

Sion is in excellent shape with a form trend of WWDWW

The hosts recently secured 4 wins and 1 draw

Ajax also arrives unbeaten with a form of WWWDD

The visitors recorded 3 wins and 2 draws lately

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sion scored an average of 1.66 goals per game this season and conceded 1.05 goals

At home, their defense is even more stable, conceding just 0.82 goals on average

Ajax scored an average of 1.81 goals this season and conceded 1.17 goals

Away from home, Ajax concedes 1.41 goals on average while scoring 1.76 goals

历史交锋

No head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two teams

关键球员

Ilyas Chouaref has recorded 7 goals and 4 assists at the Stade de Tourbillon

Rilind Nivokazi has scored 8 goals and 2 assists in home matches so far

Winsley Boteli has registered 4 goals and 1 assist in home games

Julian Brandt, Marc-André ter Stegen, and Steven Berghuis are featured in the starting lineup for Ajax

门将

Anthony Racioppi starts in goal for Sion, boasting an average home rating of 7.26

Sion achieved 15 clean sheets this season, with 9 of them coming at home

Marc-André ter Stegen guards the net for Ajax

Ajax registered 11 clean sheets this season, with 4 recorded in away games

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Stade de Tourbillon

Historical matches at this venue featured a high average of 3.8 goals per game

All of the last 5 games at this stadium ended with over 2.5 goals

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