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Europa Conference League

St. Gallen - Nordsjælland

08/27/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
St. Gallen
1.2
Total xG
2.2
Nordsjælland
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

0:1

9%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
SGNOR

St. Gallen

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.88
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.64倍)
+0.47
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.17
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.17
全员可用

Nordsjælland

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.27
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.27
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.23
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.17
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.39
+0.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

32%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

68%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Tactical dominance: St. Gallen averaged 8.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Home advantage vs away vulnerability: St. Gallen score 1.94 home goals on average, while Nordsjælland concede an average of 2.07 goals on their travels
  • Venue trend: Matches at the Kybunpark have recently resulted in over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 100% of cases
风险因素
  • Nordsjælland concede an average of 2.07 goals per away match
  • The visitor's attack averaged 7.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Limited data availability for individual player form statistics
概述

St. Gallen host Nordsjælland at the Kybunpark

Europa Conference League second leg on August 27, 2026, 8:00 PM

Following a 0-1 defeat in the first leg, the stakes are high for the home side

The mathematical model estimates a home win probability of 41%

近期状态

St. Gallen's recent form is WWDWL

They recorded a narrow 0-1 loss against Nordsjælland last time out

Nordsjælland travel with a run of LWWWW

The away side has won their last four consecutive matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

St. Gallen score an average of 1.89 goals per game this season

In home games, their scoring average rises to 1.94 goals

Nordsjælland average 1.59 goals scored per match

The visitors concede an average of 2.07 goals in away matches

Both teams scored in 28 of St. Gallen's 38 season matches

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

Nordsjælland won the only previous encounter

The last match on August 20, 2026 ended 1-0 in favor of Nordsjælland

St. Gallen have yet to score a goal in this matchup

关键球员

Lukas Görtler has recorded 5 goals and 6 assists at the Kybunpark

Aliou Baldé has scored 4 goals in the home stadium

Jozo Stanic has scored twice in front of the home fans

Peter Ankersen has played one match at this stadium without a goal contribution

Tobias Salquist has also completed one game at the Kybunpark

Stephen Acquah has made one appearance at this arena

门将

Lawrence Ati Zigi has achieved 8 clean sheets overall this season

He holds an average rating of 6.79 in his home stadium

Andreas Hansen has already kept 9 clean sheets this term

The away goalkeeper has recorded 2 clean sheets on his travels

影响因素

The historical record at the Kybunpark shows an average of 4.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in all 5 analyzed home matches

Matches at the home stadium finished with over 2.5 goals in 100% of cases

St. Gallen play on a traditional grass surface

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