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Europa Conference League

Nordsjælland - St. Gallen

08/20/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Nordsjælland
1.3
Total xG
2.2
St. Gallen
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

2:0

9%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
NORSG

Nordsjælland

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-1.73
进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.2倍)
+1.30
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.26
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.26
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
全员可用

St. Gallen

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.19
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.16
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
+0.16
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.15
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.45
+0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

32%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

68%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Extreme home strength on artificial turf: Nordsjælland is undefeated on this surface with 8 wins and 2 draws
  • High recent goalscoring threat: Nordsjælland currently scores more frequently (2.8) than its season average, as does St. Gallen (2.6)
  • Offensive tactics: Nordsjælland averaged 7.0 shots on target in recent matches, while St. Gallen averaged 7.6
风险因素
  • Severe injury concerns for St. Gallen with 9 missing players, including S. Kofi Ambrosius (Cruciate Ligament Tear) and C. Boukhalfa
  • Defensive instability for the visitors with 2.2 goals conceded recently compared to their season average of 1.40
  • Limited data availability regarding head-to-head matches and player form statistics in the provided dataset
概述

Nordsjælland host St. Gallen at the Right to Dream Park

Europa Conference League match on August 20, 2026, 7:00 PM

A balanced matchup in European qualification

The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 43%

近期状态

Form Nordsjælland: LLWWW

The home team recently secured 3 consecutive wins

Last result was a 5-0 victory against Valur

Form St. Gallen: LWWDW

The visitors are undefeated in their last 4 matches

Most recent result was a 5-1 win against Sheriff

统计数据

Nordsjælland averages 1.59 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded this season

At home the Danish side concedes only 0.94 goals per match

St. Gallen scores an average of 1.89 goals and concedes 1.24 goals

The Swiss side saw both teams score in 28 of their 38 matches

关键球员

Nicklas Røjkjær with an average rating of 7.50 in 14 appearances

Peter Ankersen holds a rating of 7.30 across 13 home matches

Justin Janssen with 2 goals and 1 assist in 13 home appearances

Lukas Görtler is in the starting lineup and played one match at this venue

Jozo Stanic was also named in the starting XI

Lawrence Ati Zigi guards the goal for the visitors

门将

Andreas Hansen plays in goal for Nordsjælland and recorded 7 clean sheets in home games

Lawrence Ati Zigi guards the net for St. Gallen and achieved a total of 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at the Right to Dream Park

Nordsjælland has a record of 8 wins and 2 draws with 22-3 goals on this surface

St. Gallen has 1 win and 1 draw with 4-2 goals on artificial turf so far

Venue statistics show an average of 2.6 goals per match

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