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Europa Conference League

Sporting Braga - Austria Wien

08/20/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Sporting Braga
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Austria Wien
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
SBAW

Sporting Braga

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.23倍)
-0.73
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.70
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.31
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.11
全员可用

Austria Wien

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.83
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.27
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.00
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.43
+0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

30%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

70%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Balanced offensive power: Both teams score consistently with averages of 2.0 and 1.8 goals per match according to advancedStats
  • Possession vs. Counter: Braga recently averaged 55% possession to dominate play, while Wien focused on counters with 42% possession
  • Model splits chances: Mathematical predictions show a highly tight matchup with 37% for an away win and 34% for a home win
风险因素
  • Squad setbacks for Wien: Absence of attacker M. Sarkaria (cruciate ligament tear) and defender P. Wiesinger
  • Limited data availability regarding head-to-head history and home team's player form statistics
概述

Sporting Braga host Austria Wien at the Estádio Municipal de Braga

Europa Conference League match on August 20, 2026, 8:00 PM

The mathematical model predicts a close match with a slight edge for the visitors (37% away win vs 34% home win)

Expected goals are calculated at 1.26 for Braga and 1.32 for Wien

近期状态

Sporting Braga are unbeaten in their last 5 matches with a form of WWWDD

Braga recently recorded two consecutive draws

Austria Wien travel with a form of LWWWL

The visitors suffered a defeat in their last match after a three-game winning run

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sporting Braga scored 1.88 goals and conceded 1.06 on average this season

At home, Braga average 1.89 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match

Austria Wien scored 1.44 goals and conceded 1.28 on average in away matches

Advanced stats show both teams scoring consistently

关键球员

Pau Víctor has contributed 6 goals and 3 assists in 29 venue appearances for Braga

Fran Navarro scored 6 goals and 1 assist in 30 matches at the venue

João Moutinho provides stability with a 6.94 rating in 28 venue games

For Austria Wien, Manfred Fischer stands out with a 7.13 season rating

Johannes Eggestein has scored 1 goal with a rating of 6.78

Aleksandar Dragovic anchors the defense with an average rating of 6.92

门将

Braga goalkeeper Bernardo has an average rating of 6.28 in 5 venue appearances

Samuel Sahin-Radlinger guards the Wien goal with a season rating of 6.55

影响因素

Matches at the Estádio Municipal de Braga average 2.8 total goals

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of the last 5 venue games

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