Friendly International

United States - Mexico

10/04/2026, 02:00 AM

3 : 0
预期进球
United States
1.3
Total xG
2.7
Mexico
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
USMEX

United States

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.27
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
-0.14
Sergiño Dest替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Mexico

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.36倍)
+0.29
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.09
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.07
37%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

29%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

71%

双方进球

是

56%

否

44%

关键因素
  • Propotent US attack averaging 2.33 goals meets Mexico's elite defense conceding just 0.4 goals
  • United States averaged 5.2 shots on target and 57.2% possession recently
  • The mathematical model expects a close match with a 34% home win and 37% away win probability
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability of United States conceding 2.33 goals per game and keeping zero clean sheets this season
  • Light rain on artificial turf at AT&T Stadium could affect playing conditions
  • Mexico must cope without the injured defender C. Montes Castro
概述

United States host Mexico at AT&T Stadium

Friendly International on October 4, 2026, 4:00 AM

A prestigious rivalry match on neutral territory

近期状态

United States form is LWLWW over the last matches

Mexico form is WWLDD

United States won their last two matches against Chile and Peru

Mexico recorded two consecutive draws against Peru and Colombia

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

United States average 2.33 goals scored and 2.33 goals conceded per game

Mexico score 1.7 goals and concede only 0.4 goals per match on average

United States have kept zero clean sheets this season

历史交锋

One head-to-head match recorded

Mexico won the last meeting 2-0 on October 16, 2024

关键球员

Sebastian Berhalter stands out with 2 goals and 2 assists, rating 7.15

Julian Hall has recorded 2 goals and 1 assist, rating 7.41

Johan Vásquez scored 2 goals for Mexico with a rating of 7.11

Not nominated: Sergiño Dest (1 goal, 1 assist)

门将

Diego Kochen starts in goal for United States with zero clean sheets this season

Raúl Rangel plays in goal for Mexico with a rating of 6.78

影响因素

The game will be played on artificial turf at AT&T Stadium

Light rain is forecast at 23.6°C

United States have a record of 3 wins and 4 losses on artificial turf

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