Friendly International
United States - Peru
09/26/2026, 08:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
5%xG 分解
United States
Peru
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
29%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact: Only 14% of the usual starting goal threat is available for the USA as Antonee Robinson (1 goal / 1 assist) and Christian Pulisic (1 goal / 1 assist) are missing
- Offensive advantage: United States scores consistently, averaging 2.1 goals per game
- Model prediction: The mathematical advantage lies with the USA with a 40% home win probability
风险因素
- Severe loss of quality for the USA with only 14% of active goal threat available due to missing Antonee Robinson and Christian Pulisic
- Limited data availability with no head-to-head history in the database
- Lack of match practice due to a long break of over 80 days since the last competitive match for both countries
概述
United States host Peru at the Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium
International Friendly on September 26, 2026, 10:30 PM
The hosts enter the match as slight favorites with a 40% win probability according to mathematical predictions
近期状态
USA Form: WWLWL with 3 wins and 2 losses
Peru Form: LLDWL with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
United States lost their last match 1-4 against Belgium
Peru was defeated 1-3 by Spain in their most recent fixture
统计数据
USA scored an average of 2.2 goals per game this season
Peru averaged only 0.33 goals per game
In home games, USA scored an average of 2.25 goals while conceding 1.25
Peru has conceded 14 goals in away matches so far
关键球员
Cavan Sullivan scored 5 goals and provided 2 assists in his last 5 matches
Peyton Miller recorded 3 goals and 1 assist recently
Justin Ellis provided 4 assists in his last 5 appearances
Jairo Vélez is the top threat for Peru with 4 season goals
Renzo Garcés contributed 1 goal this season
Gianluca Lapadula scored 1 goal in his last 5 games
门将
Matt Freese starts in goal for the USA with an average rating of 6.76
Pedro Gallese guards the net for Peru with a season average rating of 6.40
USA kept 2 clean sheets this season, while Peru secured 5 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium
Home advantage for the USA with a strong home record of 2.25 goals scored per game on average
The mathematical model predicts 1.41 expected goals for the USA and 1.23 for Peru