Friendly International
United States - Canada
10/07/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.3
2.5
1.2
1:1
14%0:0
10%1:0
9%2:1
8%0:1
8%xG 分解
United States
Canada
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
30%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Attack vs Defense: United States average 2.43 goals at home, while Canada concede only 0.43 per game
- Form Trends: United States average 2.8 goals recently, exceeding their average, while Canada's attack has stalled at 1.0 recently
- Model Edge: The mathematical prediction favors a home win at 39% with 1.32 expected goals
风险因素
- Tight schedule: United States have had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Defensive vulnerability: United States concede an average of 2.0 goals per home match this season
- Squad impact: Key players Antonee Robinson (1 goal, 1 assist) and Sergiño Dest (1 goal, 1 assist) are not nominated
概述
United States host Canada at Allianz Field
International Friendly on October 7, 2026, 2:00 AM
A classic North American rivalry match
近期状态
United States show strong form with WLWWW
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
The hosts have recorded three consecutive victories recently
Canada travel with a LWLWW form, winning their last two games
统计数据
United States boast an impressive home attack averaging 2.43 goals per game
Canada excel defensively, conceding only 0.43 goals on average this season
The home team has also conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match
历史交锋
One head-to-head match in September 2024 ended in a 2-1 away win for Canada
Canada remain dominant in this short historical matchup
关键球员
Malik Tillman stands out with 2 goals and a 7.14 average rating
Giovanni Reyna has contributed 2 assists for the home side this season
Jonathan David leads Canada's attack with 3 goals and a strong rating of 7.27
门将
Brian Schwake starts in goal for the United States
Dayne St. Clair features for Canada, a team with 5 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at Allianz Field under clear skies at 18.65°C
The venue historical average is 3.8 goals per match, with both teams scoring in 100% of matches