Friendly International
Colombia - Peru
10/06/2026, 11:45 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%2:0
9%2:1
9%1:2
6%3:0
5%xG 分解
Colombia
Peru
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
29%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Squad disruption: Without James Rodríguez and Luis Díaz, Colombia lacks crucial attacking quality, with only 68% of their regular goal threat available
- Tactical dominance: Colombia recently averaged 56% possession in their matches, but managed only an average of 3.0 shots on target per game
- Defensive vulnerability: Peru concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away match, which could present opportunities for Colombia's struggling offense
风险因素
- Tight schedule: Both teams have a very short recovery time with only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Offense form trend: Colombia's goal scoring recently stalled at 0.7 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.8
概述
Colombia faces Peru in an international friendly match
The match takes place on October 6, 2026, 11:45 PM at Hard Rock Stadium
Mathematical analysis calculates a home win probability of 48%
Colombia enters the game as the favorite despite recent struggles
近期状态
Colombia form: DWDDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Peru form: WLLDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Colombia lost their last match 0-1 against Paraguay
Peru suffered a 0-2 defeat against Canada in their last outing
统计数据
Colombia has scored an average of 1.56 goals per game this season
Peru has conceded a high average of 2.14 goals per match
Peru's defense has failed to record a single clean sheet in 7 matches
Colombia's home defense is stable, conceding just 0.7 goals per home game on average
历史交锋
There have been 5 head-to-head matches between these teams
The record is perfectly even with 1 win for each side and 3 draws
The last encounter on June 6, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
关键球员
Jhon Arias has contributed 3 goals from attack this season
Luis Suárez is in great shape with 4 goals in his last 5 matches
Jairo Vélez is Peru's main threat with 5 goals from midfield
门将
Kevin Mier starts for Colombia, posting a recent rating of 7.02
Pedro Gallese features in goal for Peru, still searching for his first clean sheet of the season
影响因素
The match is played on grass at Hard Rock Stadium, which averages 4.2 goals per game
Moderate rain is expected with temperatures of 30.55°C (feeling like 36.69°C)
High humidity of 71% could test the physical endurance of the players