Friendly International
Korea Republic - Uruguay
09/28/2026, 11:00 AM
预期进球
1.1
2.5
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Korea Republic
Uruguay
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
26%
平局
29%
客胜
44%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
56%
客胜或平局
74%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Mathematical forecast: The model calculates a 44% win probability for Uruguay and 1.46 expected goals
- Tactical metrics: Korea Republic dominated possession with 63.6% recently, while Uruguay averaged 4.0 shots on target
- Form gap: Korea Republic won three of their last five matches, while Uruguay is winless in five games
风险因素
- Limited squad strength: Uruguay has only 56% of their usual starting XI strength available
- Stagnant offense: Korea Republic's goal production has stalled at 1.2 recently compared to their season average of 1.8
- Away defensive vulnerability: Uruguay concedes an average of 1.6 goals per away match
概述
Korea Republic hosts Uruguay at the Seoul World Cup Stadium
International friendly on September 28, 2026, at 11:00 AM UTC
An even matchup without league pressure where both teams test their lineups
The visitors from Uruguay enter the match as the mathematical favorites
近期状态
Korea Republic shows mixed form recently with the sequence WWLLW
They lost two of their last five matches but won their most recent game
Uruguay is waiting for a win with a form sequence of DDDLL
The visitors suffered two consecutive defeats in their last two matches
统计数据
Korea Republic scores an average of 2.5 goals per game this season
The hosts are defensively stable, conceding only 0.5 goals per match
Uruguay averages 1.22 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Uruguay concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match
关键球员
Heung-min Son is Korea's most dangerous attacker with 3 goals this season
Kang-in Lee shows a rising form trend in midfield
Maxi Araújo convinces for Uruguay in defense and attack with a rising trend
门将
Seung-gyu Kim played in 3 season matches for Korea Republic
He contributed to his team's 9 clean sheets this season
Cristopher Fiermarín started in goal in four of the last five matches for Uruguay
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Seoul World Cup Stadium
Korea Republic scores an average of 2.67 goals per home game
Matches at this stadium have averaged 2.2 goals per game over 5 matches