Friendly International

Korea Republic - Ecuador

09/24/2026, 11:00 AM

3 : 0
预期进球
Korea Republic
1.1
Total xG
2.5
Ecuador
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

0:1

10%

1:2

9%

1:0

8%
xG 分解
KRECU

Korea Republic

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
16%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)

Ecuador

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.42倍)
+0.33
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1球)
-0.11
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

30%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

70%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Ecuador currently has only 50% of its regular goal production available in the squad
  • Both teams dominated possession in recent matches, averaging over 58% possession
  • The mathematical model favors the visitors, calculating a 40% probability for an away win
风险因素
  • Korea Republic must operate with reduced starting strength, as only 68% of their regular goal threat is available
  • Limited database on head-to-head records due to a lack of previous meetings
概述

Korea Republic face Ecuador at the Suwon World Cup Stadium

International Friendly on September 24, 2026, 12:00 PM

A balanced matchup between two competitive national teams

The mathematical model indicates a slight advantage for the away team

近期状态

Korea Republic form: WWWLL

Two consecutive losses against South Africa and Mexico in recent games

Previously secured three straight victories

Ecuador form: WLDWL

Ecuador suffered a 0-2 defeat against Mexico in their last match

Two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches

统计数据

Korea Republic averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded per game this season

At home they averaged 2.67 goals scored per match

Ecuador scored only 14 goals in 18 games with an average of 0.78

Ecuador conceded an average of 0.75 goals in their 4 away matches

历史交锋

No previous head-to-head matches found in the database

This friendly international represents the first recorded meeting between the two sides

关键球员

Heung-min Son has 2 goals this season with a rating of 7.22

Hyeon-gyu Oh scored 1 goal in his last 5 matches with 0.80 goals per 90 minutes

Han-beom Lee scored 1 goal in his last 3 appearances with a 7.18 rating

Jordy Caicedo scored 4 goals in his last 5 games for Ecuador with a 7.05 rating

John Yeboah registered 1 goal and 2 assists this season

Keny Arroyo recently scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in 5 matches

门将

Seung-gyu Kim played 5 matches with a season rating of 6.4

Hernán Galíndez played 5 games with a season rating of 7.04

Korea Republic recorded 9 clean sheets

Ecuador kept 13 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Suwon World Cup Stadium

Korea Republic show strong home stats with 2.67 goals scored per game

Ecuador remain defensively solid away from home with only 0.75 goals conceded per match

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