Friendly International
Japan - Uruguay
09/24/2026, 10:05 AM
预期进球
1.2
2.6
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
7%2:1
7%2:0
5%xG 分解
Japan
Uruguay
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
30%
客胜
40%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
60%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Lineup changes: Only 56% of Japan's usual starting XI strength is active for this match
- Tactical setup: Japan averaged 4.0 shots on target per match in recent games
- Struggling attack: Uruguay's goal production has stalled at 1.0 recently, dropping below their season average of 1.5
风险因素
- Limited data quality regarding head-to-head history for this matchup
- Defensive vulnerability on the road with Uruguay conceding 1.6 goals per away match on average
- Absence of midfielder F. Valverde Dipetta weakens the Uruguayan squad
概述
Japan hosts Uruguay in an international friendly at the National Olympic Stadium
An exciting clash between two major footballing nations
The mathematical model favors Uruguay slightly with a 40% win probability
近期状态
Japan shows a form of WDWDL with two wins in their last five matches
Uruguay enters with a DDDDL form and has not won any of their last five games
Both teams suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture
统计数据
Japan averages an impressive 3.38 goals scored per home match this season
The hosts conceded only 0.12 goals per game on home soil
Uruguay scores 1.2 goals and concedes 1.6 goals on average in away matches
关键球员
Yuito Suzuki stands out for Japan with 4 goals in his last 5 appearances
Kaishu Sano recently contributed 1 goal and 2 assists
Federico Viñas is Uruguay's top threat with 4 goals in 5 games
门将
T. Hayakawa is expected to start in goal for Japan
Santiago Mele is selected as the goalkeeper for Uruguay
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at the National Olympic Stadium
The venue averages 2.75 goals per match historically