Super League
Winterthur - Servette
03/03/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.1
3.3
2.1
1:1
10%1:2
10%0:2
9%1:3
7%0:3
6%xG 分解
Winterthur
Servette
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
18%
平局
23%
客胜
59%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
双重机会
主胜或平局
41%
客胜或平局
82%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- Winterthur's defensive weakness: Conceding an average of 2.85 goals per game and without a single clean sheet, Winterthur's defense is extremely vulnerable
- Difference in form: While Winterthur has suffered five consecutive losses, Servette has at least earned points in their last four matches (four draws)
- Servette's offensive quality: Servette scores significantly more goals (1.63 per game) than their opponent and faces the league's weakest defense, increasing their win probability to 59% according to the model
风险因素
- Key absences for Servette: An important striker, F. Aye (8 goals), is missing, and the starting lineup is at only 83% of its usual strength according to the analysis
- Poor offensive form of both teams: According to the data, both teams have a negative trend in goal scoring; Servette's average recently dropped from 1.63 to 1.25 goals
- Short recovery time: Both teams have had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
概述
Winterthur (12th place, 14 points) hosts Servette (10th place, 29 points) at Stadion Schützenwiese
Super League match on March 3, 2026, 8:30 PM
The visitors are the favorites in this bottom-of-the-table clash
近期状态
Winterthur is in catastrophic form with five consecutive losses
Form: LLLLL (0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses)
Servette is also winless in five matches but has recently managed four consecutive draws
Form: LDDDD (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
With an average of 2.85 goals conceded per game, Winterthur has the weakest defense in the league and has not kept a single clean sheet this season
Servette is more potent offensively, scoring an average of 1.63 goals per game, while Winterthur manages 1.11
In 20 of Servette's 27 league matches, both teams have scored
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Servette has the upper hand with 3 wins, compared to one win for Winterthur and one draw
The goal difference also favors Servette at 11:6
However, Winterthur won the most recent meeting 4:2
关键球员
For Winterthur, hopes rest on Andrin Hunziker (8 season goals, 2 assists) and Théo Golliard (3 goals, 4 assists)
The key players for Servette are Miroslav Stevanovic (8 goals, 5 assists) and the in-form Jérémy Guillemenot (6 goals, 2 assists)
门将
Winterthur's goalkeeper Stefanos Kapino has not yet kept a clean sheet this season
Joël Mall in goal for Servette has already kept a clean sheet 4 times with his team this season
影响因素
The Stadion Schützenwiese is a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.8 goals in the last five home matches
Winterthur's defensive weakness at home is evident with 2.0 goals conceded per game
Servette scores an average of 1.6 goals per away game