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Europa League

AGF - Benfica

08/27/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
AGF
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Benfica
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

15%

1:0

15%

1:1

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
AGFBEN

AGF

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.73
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.27
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
-0.14
全员可用

Benfica

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-2.23
进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.33倍)
+1.97
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.8球)
+0.48
状态上升 (3.8 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
+0.48
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1球)
-0.13
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

33%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

67%

双方进球

40%

60%

关键因素
  • According to the dataset AGF currently has only 0% of its seasonal goal production available
  • Benfica averaged a strong 9.6 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Benfica is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 3.8 goals per game compared to their season average of 2.21
风险因素
  • AGF showed defensive weakness recently conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match
  • The mathematical model calculates a probability of only 33% for over 2.5 goals
  • Limited data availability regarding player form in the provided dataset
概述

AGF host Benfica at Cepheus Park Randers

Europa League match on August 27, 2026, 6:00 PM

The home team fights to stay in the competition after the first leg defeat

近期状态

AGF shows inconsistent form with LWWLL

The home team has 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Benfica arrives undefeated with a form of WDDWW

The Portuguese side has recorded 3 wins and 2 draws recently

统计数据

AGF scores an average of 1.94 goals per home game

The Danish defense conceded an average of 0.88 goals in front of their home crowd

Benfica is highly dangerous away, averaging 2.20 goals per game

The visitors' defense concedes an average of only 0.80 goals on the road

历史交锋

There has been only one head-to-head match between the two teams so far

The last meeting on August 20, 2026 ended in a 3-1 win for Benfica

Benfica therefore leads the historical head-to-head record with one win

关键球员

Tobias Bech stands out with 2 goals at the venue and an average rating of 7.44

Rasmus Carstensen stabilizes the defense with a rating of 6.93

Gift Links contributes with an average rating of 6.84

Clément Lenglet has played 1 match at this venue

Georgiy Sudakov also recorded 1 match at this venue

Vangelis Pavlidis has made 1 appearance at this venue

门将

Mads Hedenstad is in goal for AGF

Samuel Soares guards the net for Benfica

AGF has recorded 9 clean sheets in total this season

Benfica has already achieved 14 clean sheets this campaign

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at Cepheus Park Randers

Stadium statistics show an average of 3.2 goals per match

Both teams scored in 60% of the matches played at this venue

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