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Europa League

Benfica - AGF

08/20/2026, 07:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Benfica
1.2
Total xG
2.0
AGF
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
BENAGF

Benfica

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.91
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.64
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均4.2球)
+0.60
状态上升 (4.2 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
+0.60
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.92倍)
+0.52
全员可用

AGF

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.49倍)
-0.56
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.29
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.22
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.10
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

34%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

32%

Under 2.5

68%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

66%

双方进球

40%

60%

关键因素
  • Offensive power: Benfica currently score an average of 4.2 goals per game, significantly higher than their season average of 2.2
  • Tactical dominance: Benfica recently dominated possession with an average of 65.2% and 9.0 shots on target per game
  • Home strength: Benfica concede only 0.68 goals per home game on average
风险因素
  • Short recovery: Benfica have only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Away defensive issues: AGF recently conceded 2.2 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.32
  • Limited data availability on head-to-head matches between the teams
概述

Benfica host AGF in the Europa League

Match on August 20, 2026, 8:00 PM at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica enter the match as favorites

近期状态

Benfica is unbeaten in 5 games with a form of WWDDW

Most recently they won 7-0 against Casa Pia

AGF has a form of WLWWL and lost their last match 0-4 against Sabah

统计数据

Benfica averaged 2.18 goals scored and 0.74 goals conceded this season

At home Benfica concede only 0.68 goals per game on average

AGF average 1.94 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded away from home

关键球员

For the home side Vangelis Pavlidis with 23 goals at the venue, Georgiy Sudakov with 3 goals and 2 assists, and Rafa Silva with 4 goals and 1 assist are key

For the visitors Tobias Bech, Kristian Arnstad, and James Bogere are in focus

门将

Samuel Soares played 21 games at the venue with an average rating of 6.78

Mads Hedenstad played one game at the venue

影响因素

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica saw an average of 5.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of matches and 100% ended over 2.5 goals

The match is played on grass

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