Friendly International

Russia - Iran

09/29/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Russia
1.3
Total xG
3.0
Iran
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

0:2

7%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
RUSIRA

Russia

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.09
Lechi Sadulaev替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

Iran

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.67倍)
+0.77
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.12
Mohammad Mohebi替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

26%

客胜

47%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

53%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

74%

双方进球

是

61%

否

39%

关键因素
  • Tactical dominance: Russia averaged 61.2% possession and 6.2 shots on target recently
  • Model forecast: The mathematical analysis sees an away win probability of 47%
  • Offensive drop: Iran's attack currently averages 1.8 goals, down from their season average of 2.3
风险因素
  • Defensive struggles: Iran concedes 1.5 goals per away game on average
  • Short recovery: Iran has only 5 days of rest since their last match
  • Squad impact: Russia operates at 78% of starting strength without Lechi Sadulaev
概述

Russia hosts Iran

Friendly International on September 29, 2026, 6:00 PM at Ak Bars Arena

A balanced matchup between two competitive national teams

近期状态

Russia's overall form is WDLWW

This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Iran's overall form is WDDDL with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Russia averaged 1.8 goals scored per game this season

The hosts conceded an average of only 0.4 goals per match

Iran scored 2.19 goals per game overall this season

However, Iran conceded an average of 1.5 goals in away matches

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

Russia won this single direct encounter

The last match ended in a 2-1 victory for Russia on October 10, 2025

关键球员

K. Tyukavin recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in the season with an 8.4 rating

Aleksandr Golovin scored 1 goal in 2 appearances

Sardar Azmoun registered 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 4 matches

门将

Matvey Safonov starts in goal for Russia with a 5.89 season rating

Seyed Hossein Hosseini starts for Iran with a 6.5 rating

Russia kept 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The game will be played on grass at the Ak Bars Arena

Russia averaged 1.8 goals scored in 5 home games

Iran averaged 2.33 goals scored in 6 away matches

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