Friendly International
Colombia - Paraguay
10/03/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.3
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Colombia
Paraguay
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
32%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Tactical contrast: Colombia averaged 57% possession in recent matches, compared to Paraguay's average of 33%
- Defensive stability: Paraguay concede a seasonal average of only 0.56 goals per game
- Model advantage: The mathematical analysis calculates a 41% win probability for Colombia
风险因素
- Weakened attack: Luis Díaz and James Rodríguez are missing from Colombia's lineup
- Stalling goal scoring: Both teams registered a lower goal production of only 1.0 goals recently
概述
Colombia face Paraguay
International friendly on October 3, 2026
Played at Sports Illustrated Stadium
近期状态
Colombia's form is WDWDD
Two consecutive draws in their recent matches
Paraguay enter with form WDDLW
Most recent match ended in a victory
统计数据
Colombia score an average of 1.56 goals per game this season
The home side's defense concedes an average of 1.00 goals
Paraguay average 0.78 goals scored per match
The visitors concede an average of only 0.56 goals per game
历史交锋
Balanced record over 5 head-to-head matches
Each team has 1 win alongside 3 draws
The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw on March 26, 2025
关键球员
Luis Suárez with 2 season goals and 5 goals in his last 5 matches
Jhon Arias impresses with a seasonal average rating of 7.31
Richard Ríos shows rising form with a 7.12 rating in recent games
Miguel Almirón holds a seasonal average rating of 6.89
Gustavo Gómez recorded 1 assist and a rating of 7.02 recently
Andrés Cubas improved his recent average rating to 6.88
门将
Aldair Quintana starts in goal for Colombia
The home side has recorded 7 clean sheets in total
Orlando Gill guards the goal for Paraguay
Paraguay's defense has achieved 10 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match is played on grass at the Sports Illustrated Stadium
Venue history shows an average of 2.4 goals per game
Colombia score an average of 1.6 goals in home games
Paraguay concede an average of 1.17 goals when playing away