Champions League
Atalanta - Athletic Club
01/21/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
0.6
1.4
0.8
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
30%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
9%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- Atalanta's strong home record (1.27 goals per game) meets a weak away Athletic Club (1.89 goals conceded per game)
- Slight form advantage for Atalanta with 3 wins from the last 5 games compared to Athletic Club's 2 wins
- Atalanta's defense is statistically more stable with 0.95 goals conceded per game than Athletic Club's (1.4)
风险因素
- Lack of direct duels: With no historical encounters, the outcome of the match is harder to assess
- Numerous injuries for both teams, especially for Athletic Club, could significantly impact the expected performance
- The low goal forecast suggests a tight game that could be decided by a single moment
概述
Atalanta (8th place, 13 points) hosts Athletic Club (32nd place, 5 points) at the Gewiss Stadium
This is a Champions League match on January 21, 2026, 9:00 PM
Based on the league standings, Atalanta enters the match as the favorite
近期状态
Atalanta's form from the last five matches: LWWWD (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Athletic Club's form from the last five matches: WLDWL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Atalanta shows a slightly more stable form curve than Athletic Club
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Atalanta scores an average of 1.24 goals per match and concedes 0.95
Athletic Club scores an average of 0.95 goals and concedes 1.4 goals per match
At home, Atalanta is stronger with a scoring average of 1.27 goals while conceding only 0.82
Athletic Club is defensively vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.89 goals per match
历史交锋
There are no direct encounters between these two teams recorded in the database
关键球员
Charles De Ketelaere has been directly involved in 4 goals this season (2 goals, 2 assists)
Nikola Krstović is showing rising form with 3 goals in his last 4 appearances
Gorka Guruzeta is a key attacker for Athletic Club with 3 goals this season
Nico Williams has scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and is on an upward trend
门将
Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta has a season rating of 7.47
Unai Simón in goal for Athletic Club has an average rating of 6.89
Atalanta has kept 7 clean sheets this season, while Athletic Club has managed 5
影响因素
An average of 2.0 goals are scored per match at the Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta has a strong home record on natural grass with 7 wins in 10 matches (16:7 goals)
Athletic Club has a negative away record on natural grass with 4 losses in 10 matches (11:14 goals)