Champions League
Napoli - Arsenal
09/09/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.7
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Napoli
Arsenal
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
29%
客胜
41%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
59%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- Form gap: Arsenal is unbeaten in their last 5 matches while Napoli suffered consecutive defeats
- Defensive solidity: Arsenal conceded a mere 0.71 goals per game on average this season
- Tactical attacking output: Arsenal averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
- Short rest: Arsenal faces a fitness disadvantage with only 3 days of recovery since their last game
- Away defensive regression: Arsenal concedes 1.0 goals per away match compared to only 0.5 at home
- Key absentee: Napoli is missing the clinical Scott McTominay, leaving them with only 85% of their usual starting strength
概述
Napoli hosts Arsenal at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Champions League fixture on September 9, 2026, 9:00 PM
Mathematical models favor Arsenal with a 41% win probability
Expected goals are calculated at 1.22 for Napoli and 1.46 for the visitors
近期状态
Napoli enters the match with a WWWLL form after suffering two consecutive defeats
Arsenal shows consistent stability with a WDWWW form and three wins in a row
The recent momentum lies with the English side
统计数据
Arsenal averages 1.87 goals scored and only 0.71 goals conceded per match this season
Napoli records 1.53 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded on average
At home Napoli scored an average of 1.5 goals
历史交锋
Arsenal has won three of the four direct encounters while Napoli won one
The last match-up ended in a 1-0 away victory for Arsenal
关键球员
Kevin De Bruyne leads Napoli with an impressive season rating of 7.21
Bukayo Saka stands out with 3 goals and 2 assists alongside a 7.09 rating
Declan Rice commands the central midfield boasting a season rating of 7.35
门将
Alex Meret played one match this season with a rating of 6.31
David Raya has started 14 games in goal keeping a strong rating of 7.15
Arsenal kept 19 clean sheets over the course of the season
影响因素
The match takes place on natural grass at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
The venue averages 3.0 goals per game with a 60% rate of Over 2.5 goals