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Champions League

Porto - Manchester City

09/08/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Porto
1.3
Total xG
2.7
Manchester City
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
PORMC

Porto

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.22
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.09
全员可用

Manchester City

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.54倍)
+0.42
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.18
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.11
Nico O'Reilly未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.43
+0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

29%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

71%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Porto are in excellent form with five consecutive victories in recent games
  • Manchester City dominated possession in recent matches, averaging 65% ball possession
  • Porto's defense is exceptionally robust at home, conceding only 0.35 goals per game
风险因素
  • Manchester City face potential fatigue with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Limited data available regarding the current player form of Porto
  • Manchester City's goal production has slowed down to 1.8 recently, compared to their season average of 2.2
概述

Porto host Manchester City at the Estádio Do Dragão

Champions League match on September 8, 2026, 8:00 PM

A highly anticipated clash between two European top teams

Manchester City currently sit in 2nd place while Porto are in 16th

近期状态

Porto are in stellar shape with five consecutive wins

The home team's recent form shows a perfect WWWWW

Manchester City travel with a recent record of DLWWW

Most recently, the English side secured a narrow 1:0 home win against Coventry City

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Porto average 1.94 goals scored and only 0.53 goals conceded per game this season

At home, Porto's defense is incredibly strong, conceding just 0.35 goals per match

Manchester City score 2.03 goals on average but concede 1.31 per away game

The model predicts expected goals of 1.34 for Porto and 1.40 for Manchester City

历史交锋

In their four previous meetings, Manchester City have dominated with three wins

Porto have never beaten City, with only one draw recorded between the teams

The last direct encounter in December 2020 ended in a goalless 0:0 draw

关键球员

For Manchester City, Erling Haaland is in rising form with 8 goals this season

Rayan Cherki shines in midfield with 3 goals and a season rating of 7.49

William Gomes has been a key figure for Porto with 9 goals scored at the Estádio Do Dragão

Gabri Veiga has contributed 6 goals in home matches

门将

Diogo Costa guards Porto's goal and has kept 12 clean sheets in home matches this season

Gianluigi Donnarumma starts for Manchester City, holding 7 away clean sheets this season

影响因素

Home advantage is key for Porto, who conceded only 6 goals in 17 home matches

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Do Dragão

The model calculates a 57% probability for both teams to score

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