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Champions League

FC Barcelona - Feyenoord

09/09/2026, 04:45 PM

5 : 1
预期进球
FC Barcelona
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Feyenoord
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
FBFEY

FC Barcelona

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.71
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.35
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.6球)
+0.30
状态上升 (3.6 vs 2.6 赛季平均)
+0.30
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Fermín López替补席 (6球, 4助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)

Feyenoord

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.06倍)
+0.52
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.47
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.31
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.17
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.17
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.47
+0.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

28%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

72%

双方进球

是

57%

否

43%

关键因素
  • Critical squad depletion: Feyenoord has only 6% of its seasonal goal-scoring threat available in this lineup
  • Tactical dominance: Barcelona averaged 68% possession and 8.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Strong home trend: The model estimates a 71% probability for a home win or draw
风险因素
  • Short recovery time: Barcelona enters the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Missing playmaker: Without Fermín López, Barcelona's lineup strength drops to 86%
  • Away defense vulnerability: Feyenoord concedes an average of 1.4 goals per away match
概述

FC Barcelona host Feyenoord at the Camp Nou

Champions League match on September 9, 2026, 6:45 PM

Both teams start without points in the new league phase

近期状态

FC Barcelona won four of their last five matches with a form of LWWWW

Feyenoord is unbeaten in five games with a form of WDWDW

Barca is currently averaging 3.6 goals per game

统计数据

Barcelona scored 95 goals and conceded 36 goals this season

Feyenoord scored 70 goals and conceded 44 goals this season

At Camp Nou Barca conceded an average of just 0.43 goals per game

历史交锋

There are no historical head-to-head matches in the provided dataset

This is the first documented meeting in recent history

关键球员

Lamine Yamal shines with 6 goals, 4 assists, and a 7.87 rating

Raphinha contributed 3 goals and 2 assists with a 7.60 rating

Pedri stands out with an average rating of 7.16

Tsuyoshi Watanabe holds a rating of 7.51

Anis Hadj Moussa scored 1 goal with a 7.23 rating

Luciano Valente holds a rating of 6.49

门将

Joan García starts in goal for the hosts, holding a rating of 6.60

His team kept 10 home clean sheets this season

Tjark Ernst guards the goal for Feyenoord

The visitors secured 6 away clean sheets this season

影响因素

The home advantage at Camp Nou is statistically strong with 57 home goals

Matches at this venue average 3.2 goals per game

The match is played on grass

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