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Champions League

Real Madrid - Inter

09/08/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Real Madrid
1.6
Total xG
3.3
Inter
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

5%
xG 分解
RMINT

Real Madrid

小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.23
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.18
状态上升 (2.8 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
+0.18
Arda Güler未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)

Inter

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.65倍)
+0.91
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.43
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.16
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.03
Pio Esposito替补席 (2球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.43
+0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

26%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

74%

双方进球

66%

34%

关键因素
  • Madrilian efficiency: Real Madrid currently average 2.8 goals per match compared to their seasonal average of 2.2
  • Inter's attacking threat: The visitors showed high volume in recent matches averaging 20.2 shots and 6.2 shots on target
  • Perfect historical record: Real Madrid won all 4 of their previous head-to-head fixtures against Inter
风险因素
  • Fatigue risk for Inter with a short gap of only 3 days of rest since their last competitive game
  • Defensive setback for the visitors as key defender F. Dimarco is ruled out with a knee injury
  • Attacking casualty for Real Madrid with R. Silva de Goes sidelined by a cruciate ligament tear
概述

Real Madrid host Inter at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Champions League match on September 8, 2026, 9:00 PM

Both sides begin the league phase sitting in 3rd and 8th place

A prestigious continental battle awaits at the Bernabéu

近期状态

Real Madrid hold a strong form record of WWWWL over their last five games

The home side suffered a narrow defeat in their last match

Inter remain unbeaten in five matches with a form curve of DDWWW

The Italian side comes in hot with three consecutive victories

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Real Madrid scored an average of 2.03 goals per match this season

Inter boast a powerful attacking line with an average of 2.34 goals

Both defenses are robust conceding an identical average of just 0.92 goals

At home Real Madrid show great defensive steel with only 0.73 goals conceded per game

历史交锋

Real Madrid command the historical record with 4 wins in 4 matches

Inter are still looking to record their first point in this matchup

The overall goal difference stands at 8-2 in favor of the Spanish side

The most recent meeting ended in a 2-0 victory for Real Madrid

关键球员

Kylian Mbappé is Real Madrid's main threat with 15 goals and an overall rating of 8.06

Vinicius Junior has provided 5 goals and 5 assists so far

Jude Bellingham shines in midfield with 2 goals and a rising form trend

Lautaro Martínez leads Inter's front line with 4 goals and a rating of 7.28

Marcus Thuram has registered 2 goals and 1 assist this season

Hakan Çalhanoğlu dominates the midfield with 1 goal and 2 assists

门将

Thibaut Courtois played 11 games this season recording a high average rating of 7.47

Josep Martínez was in goal for Inter in recent games averaging a rating of 6.93

Real Madrid's defensive unit allows only 0.73 goals per home game

影响因素

Matches at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu average a high 4.0 total goals

Both teams scored in 60% of the historical fixtures played at this stadium

Inter face potential fatigue with only 3 days of rest since their last game

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