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Super League

Sion - Winterthur

03/07/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Sion
2.6
Total xG
3.5
Winterthur
0.9
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

3:0

8%

3:1

8%

4:0

5%

4:1

5%
xG 分解
SIOWIN

Sion

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.46
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.14
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第12位, 相差6位)
+0.07
主场表现强势 (场均2球 vs 总体1.7球)

Winterthur

防守不足 (场均失2.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+1.30
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-0.71
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.09
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第6位, 相差6位)
-0.06
Théo Golliard替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Randy Schneider替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Silvan Sidler未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Tibault Citherlet替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.78
+0.78
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

72%

平局

18%

客胜

11%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

68%

Under 2.5

32%

Over 3.5

46%

Under 3.5

54%

双重机会

主胜或平局

89%

客胜或平局

28%

非平局

82%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Sion's home win probability is 71% according to mathematical analysis
  • Winterthur concedes an average of 4.09 goals per away game, while Sion allows only 0.71 goals at home
  • Sion has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches and won the last home game 2:0
风险因素
  • Sion had only 3 days of rest since the last match
  • Key players for Winterthur are not in the lineup, making only 72% of their usual goal threat available
  • Winterthur generates an average of only 4.0 shots on target per game
概述

Sion (6th place, 41 points) host Winterthur (12th place, 15 points) at Stade de Tourbillon. Super League match on March 7, 2026, 6:00 PM. Sion enters the clash against the bottom-placed team as clear favorites

近期状态

Sion's form in the last five matches is WLWDL. This includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Winterthur shows a form of LLLLD, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sion scores an average of 1.43 goals per game and concedes 1.14 goals. At home, they score 1.43 goals and concede only 0.71 goals per game. Sion kept a clean sheet in 10 matches, 7 of which were at home. Winterthur scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 2.79 goals per game. Away, Winterthur concedes an average of 4.09 goals per game. Winterthur has not kept a clean sheet this season. At Stade de Tourbillon, an average of 2.0 goals are scored per game, and both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 matches

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Sion won 3 times and Winterthur won 2 times. There were no draws. The goal difference is 9:7 in favor of Sion. The last encounter on January 14, 2026, ended with a 2:0 home win for Sion. Sion has dominated recent encounters

关键球员

For Sion, Rilind Nivokazi (11 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 6.97 Rating), Ilyas Chouaref (5 goals, 4 assists, Avg. 7.14 Rating), and Nias Hefti (6 assists, Avg. 6.91 Rating) are key players. Rilind Nivokazi shows a rising form trend with a delta of 0.21. Ilyas Chouaref also shows a rising form trend with a delta of 1.01. For Winterthur, Andrin Hunziker (8 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 6.97 Rating), Roman Buess (3 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.82 Rating), and Alexandre Jankewitz (1 goal, 3 assists, Avg. 6.58 Rating) are notable

门将

Sion's goalkeeper Anthony Racioppi played 28 season matches and kept 10 clean sheets. Winterthur's goalkeeper Stefanos Kapino also played 28 season matches, but could not keep a clean sheet in any game

影响因素

Sion has a home advantage with an average of 1.43 goals scored and only 0.71 goals conceded in home games. Winterthur shows a clear away weakness with an average of 4.09 goals conceded per away game. Stade de Tourbillon recorded an average of 2.0 goals in 5 matches

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