Champions League
Liverpool - Atlético de Madrid
09/09/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.3
3.3
1.1
2:1
10%1:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
7%3:0
7%xG 分解
Liverpool
Atlético de Madrid
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
63%
平局
21%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
37%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- Strong home defense: Liverpool allows only 0.95 goals per home game on average, while Atlético struggles away conceding 1.93 on average
- Squad impact: Liverpool is missing Cody Gakpo and Ryan Gravenberch but retains an active goal share of 80%
- Tactical control: Liverpool recently dominated with 60.2% possession and averaged 6.2 shots on target per match
风险因素
- Away defensive instability: Atlético de Madrid concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away game
- Recovery time: Atlético de Madrid enters this fixture with only 4 days of rest since their last match
- Downward trend: Atlético's recent goal production has slowed down to 1.6 compared to their 1.9 season average
概述
Liverpool host Atlético de Madrid at Anfield
Champions League match on September 9, 2026, 8:00 PM
Mathematical analysis favors Liverpool with a 64% win probability
近期状态
Liverpool's form in the last five matches is LDDDW
The home side recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Atlético de Madrid's form is LWDWL with 2 wins and 2 losses
Atlético's trend is currently negative while Liverpool remains stable
Form code explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Liverpool scored an average of 1.66 goals per game this season
In home games, the Reds concede only 0.95 goals on average
Atlético de Madrid score 1.64 goals away but concede an average of 1.93
The model estimates a 65% chance for over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There have been 5 direct encounters between the teams
Liverpool won 3 matches and Atlético de Madrid won 2
The last meeting on September 17, 2025, ended in a 3-2 victory for Liverpool
关键球员
Dominik Szoboszlai averages 0.54 goals per 90 minutes with a rating of 7.73
Alexander Isak shows a rising trend with 3 goals in his last five matches
Florian Wirtz recorded 1 goal and 3 assists this season with a 7.33 rating
Julián Alvarez leads the line with 10 goals this season and a 7.63 rating
Álex Baena shows an upward form with 2 goals and 1 assist in recent matches
Giuliano Simeone recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in his last four appearances
门将
Alisson starts in goal for Liverpool with a season rating of 7.00
Jan Oblak plays in goal having secured 14 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match is played on grass at Anfield
Venue stats show an average of 2.8 goals per match and an 80% BTTS rate